Stock Analysis

FULONGMA GROUP Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603686) Share Price Boosted 34% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

SHSE:603686
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FULONGMA GROUP Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603686) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 34% gain in the last month alone. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 19% is also fairly reasonable.

Although its price has surged higher, FULONGMA GROUPLtd may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 30.8x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 37x and even P/E's higher than 71x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for FULONGMA GROUPLtd as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for FULONGMA GROUPLtd

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603686 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 25th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think FULONGMA GROUPLtd's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is FULONGMA GROUPLtd's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as FULONGMA GROUPLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 32%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 61% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 22% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 38% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we can see why FULONGMA GROUPLtd is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

FULONGMA GROUPLtd's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of FULONGMA GROUPLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for FULONGMA GROUPLtd that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.