Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping CAP S.A.'s (SNSE:CAP) Muted Earnings

SNSE:CAP
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When close to half the companies in Chile have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 8x, you may consider CAP S.A. (SNSE:CAP) as a highly attractive investment with its 2.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been advantageous for CAP as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for CAP

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SNSE:CAP Price Based on Past Earnings March 3rd 2022
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on CAP.

How Is CAP's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, CAP would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 147% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 495% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 33% per annum as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 2.1% growth each year, that's a disappointing outcome.

In light of this, it's understandable that CAP's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Bottom Line On CAP's P/E

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that CAP maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for CAP (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than CAP. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.