Stock Analysis
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies The Swatch Group AG (VTX:UHR) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Swatch Group
What Is Swatch Group's Debt?
As you can see below, Swatch Group had CHF22.0m of debt at December 2024, down from CHF77.0m a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CHF1.40b in cash, so it actually has CHF1.37b net cash.
How Strong Is Swatch Group's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Swatch Group had liabilities of CHF1.02b due within a year, and liabilities of CHF753.0m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CHF1.40b in cash and CHF719.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CHF340.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus suggests that Swatch Group has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Swatch Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Swatch Group if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 74% cut to EBIT over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Swatch Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Swatch Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Considering the last three years, Swatch Group actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
Summing Up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Swatch Group has net cash of CHF1.37b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with Swatch Group's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Swatch Group (including 1 which is potentially serious) .
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SWX:UHR
Swatch Group
Designs, manufactures, and sells finished watches, jewelry, and watch movements and components worldwide.