Stock Analysis

Altius Renewable Royalties (TSE:ARR) Is In A Strong Position To Grow Its Business

Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Altius Renewable Royalties (TSE:ARR) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

See our latest analysis for Altius Renewable Royalties

How Long Is Altius Renewable Royalties' Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. In September 2021, Altius Renewable Royalties had US$55m in cash, and was debt-free. Importantly, its cash burn was US$1.1m over the trailing twelve months. So it had a very long cash runway of many years from September 2021. Notably, however, analysts think that Altius Renewable Royalties will break even (at a free cash flow level) before then. In that case, it may never reach the end of its cash runway. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:ARR Debt to Equity History February 21st 2022

How Is Altius Renewable Royalties' Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Whilst it's great to see that Altius Renewable Royalties has already begun generating revenue from operations, last year it only produced US$3.3k, so we don't think it is generating significant revenue, at this point. Therefore, for the purposes of this analysis we'll focus on how the cash burn is tracking. Over the last year its cash burn actually increased by 6.6%, which suggests that management are increasing investment in future growth, but not too quickly. However, the company's true cash runway will therefore be shorter than suggested above, if spending continues to increase. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

How Easily Can Altius Renewable Royalties Raise Cash?

While its cash burn is only increasing slightly, Altius Renewable Royalties shareholders should still consider the potential need for further cash, down the track. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Altius Renewable Royalties' cash burn of US$1.1m is about 0.4% of its US$277m market capitalisation. So it could almost certainly just borrow a little to fund another year's growth, or else easily raise the cash by issuing a few shares.

Is Altius Renewable Royalties' Cash Burn A Worry?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Altius Renewable Royalties is burning through its cash. For example, we think its cash runway suggests that the company is on a good path. While its increasing cash burn wasn't great, the other factors mentioned in this article more than make up for weakness on that measure. It's clearly very positive to see that analysts are forecasting the company will break even fairly soon. Taking all the factors in this report into account, we're not at all worried about its cash burn, as the business appears well capitalized to spend as needs be. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 3 warning signs for Altius Renewable Royalties (of which 2 are a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:ARR

Altius Renewable Royalties

A renewable energy royalty company, engages in the acquisition and management of renewable energy investments and royalties in North America.

Flawless balance sheet and fair value.

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