Stock Analysis

Is 1933 Industries (CSE:TGIF) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

CNSX:TGIF
Source: Shutterstock

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies 1933 Industries Inc. (CSE:TGIF) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for 1933 Industries

How Much Debt Does 1933 Industries Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of January 2023, 1933 Industries had CA$4.58m of debt, up from CA$4.39m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CA$2.92m in cash leading to net debt of about CA$1.66m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
CNSX:TGIF Debt to Equity History April 10th 2023

How Strong Is 1933 Industries' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that 1933 Industries had liabilities of CA$8.49m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CA$13.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CA$2.92m in cash and CA$1.95m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$16.9m.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CA$9.17m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, 1933 Industries would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is 1933 Industries's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, 1933 Industries reported revenue of CA$16m, which is a gain of 40%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

Even though 1933 Industries managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CA$7.1m at the EBIT level. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of CA$2.9m over the last twelve months. That means it's on the risky side of things. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for 1933 Industries that you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.