The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Nicola Mining Inc. (CVE:NIM) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Nicola Mining
How Much Debt Does Nicola Mining Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of March 2022, Nicola Mining had CA$7.30m of debt, up from CA$6.69m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CA$1.38m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CA$5.92m.
A Look At Nicola Mining's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Nicola Mining had liabilities of CA$7.63m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CA$4.19m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$1.38m as well as receivables valued at CA$595.7k due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CA$9.84m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Nicola Mining has a market capitalization of CA$23.4m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Nicola Mining's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Since Nicola Mining has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, Nicola Mining had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CA$3.4m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CA$2.4m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 4 warning signs with Nicola Mining (at least 2 which are a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About TSXV:NIM
Nicola Mining
A junior exploration and custom milling company, engages in the identification, acquisition, and exploration of mineral property interests in Canada.
Excellent balance sheet low.