Stock Analysis

3 TSX Stocks Estimated To Be 27.4% To 47.6% Below Intrinsic Value

TSX:ARIS
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Despite experiencing a rollercoaster first half of the year marked by policy uncertainties and trade tensions, the Canadian stock market has managed to reach all-time highs, with the TSX showing resilience amid global economic shifts. In this environment of volatility and potential opportunities, identifying undervalued stocks becomes crucial for investors seeking to capitalize on discrepancies between market prices and intrinsic values.

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Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Canada

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Trisura Group (TSX:TSU)CA$44.09CA$85.6548.5%
Triple Flag Precious Metals (TSX:TFPM)CA$32.20CA$47.4732.2%
Timbercreek Financial (TSX:TF)CA$7.61CA$11.0831.3%
TerraVest Industries (TSX:TVK)CA$169.40CA$314.2746.1%
Teck Resources (TSX:TECK.B)CA$52.61CA$89.7041.3%
Sandstorm Gold (TSX:SSL)CA$13.51CA$19.4130.4%
Magna Mining (TSXV:NICU)CA$1.79CA$3.4147.6%
Lithium Royalty (TSX:LIRC)CA$5.42CA$8.7838.3%
K92 Mining (TSX:KNT)CA$14.95CA$22.0232.1%
High Tide (TSXV:HITI)CA$3.21CA$4.5629.6%

Click here to see the full list of 25 stocks from our Undervalued TSX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's review some notable picks from our screened stocks.

Aris Mining (TSX:ARIS)

Overview: Aris Mining Corporation, with a market cap of CA$1.68 billion, is involved in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of gold properties in Canada, Colombia, and Guyana.

Operations: The company's revenue primarily comes from its Marmato segment, contributing $62.76 million, and its Segovia segment, generating $497.75 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 27.4%

Aris Mining appears undervalued, trading at CA$9.55, below its estimated fair value of CA$13.15. The company recently increased Segovia's processing capacity by 50%, which could boost gold production in the second half of 2025. Earnings grew by 62.5% last year and are expected to grow significantly over the next three years, outpacing the Canadian market's growth rate. Revenue is forecast to rise at 21.5% annually, indicating robust cash flow potential.

TSX:ARIS Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2025
TSX:ARIS Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2025

Triple Flag Precious Metals (TSX:TFPM)

Overview: Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. is a streaming and royalty company focused on acquiring and managing precious metals interests across various countries, with a market cap of CA$6.33 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is primarily derived from its metals and mining segment, specifically gold and other precious metals, totaling $293.71 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 32.2%

Triple Flag Precious Metals is trading at CA$32.2, significantly below its fair value estimate of CA$47.47, indicating potential undervaluation based on discounted cash flows. Recent record quarterly revenue of US$94.1 million and reaffirmed 2025 sales guidance support a positive outlook for cash flow generation. Despite forecasted earnings growth outpacing the Canadian market at 50.7% annually, profit margins have decreased from last year’s figures, and insider selling has been significant recently.

TSX:TFPM Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2025
TSX:TFPM Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2025

Magna Mining (TSXV:NICU)

Overview: Magna Mining Inc. is involved in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties in Canada with a market cap of CA$353.61 million.

Operations: The company focuses on acquiring, exploring, and developing mineral properties across Canada.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 47.6%

Magna Mining is trading at CA$1.79, well below its fair value estimate of CA$3.41, highlighting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Recent exploration updates from the Levack Mine indicate promising copper-nickel-PGE mineralization, which could enhance future cash flow prospects. However, revenue remains modest at CA$4 million despite becoming profitable this year with a net income of CA$29.1 million for Q1 2025. Earnings are forecast to grow significantly over the next three years.

TSXV:NICU Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2025
TSXV:NICU Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2025

Key Takeaways

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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