Aris Mining Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Aris Mining is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 68.4% and 21.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 59.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14.8% in 3 years.

Key information

68.4%

Earnings growth rate

59.21%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth	25.2%
Revenue growth rate	21.9%
Future return on equity	14.85%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	16 May 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Aris Mining's (TSE:ARIS) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

May 14

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Aris Mining Corporation (TSE:ARIS) With Shares Advancing 30%

May 07

Even With A 28% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Aris Mining Corporation's (TSE:ARIS) Performance Completely

Mar 29

Is Aris Mining (TSE:ARIS) Using Too Much Debt?

Mar 07

Aris Mining Corporation's (TSE:ARIS) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion

Jan 19

These 4 Measures Indicate That Aris Mining (TSE:ARIS) Is Using Debt Extensively

Aug 30

Is Aris Mining (TSE:ARIS) Using Too Much Debt?

May 12

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Aris Mining Corporation (TSE:ARIS)

Dec 17

Is GCM Mining (TSE:GCM) Using Too Much Debt?

Sep 21

GCM Mining (TSE:GCM) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.015

Aug 20

GCM Mining (TSE:GCM) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.015

Jul 21

GCM Mining (TSE:GCM) Will Pay A Dividend Of CA$0.015

Jun 29

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSX:ARIS - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027	1,604	407	569	576	4
12/31/2026	1,256	280	273	418	4
12/31/2025	776	112	75	254	4
3/31/2025	561	28	-30	189	N/A
12/31/2024	511	25	-54	141	N/A
9/30/2024	485	-3	-111	73	N/A
6/30/2024	466	13	-70	87	N/A
3/31/2024	458	17	-53	84	N/A
12/31/2023	448	11	-16	105	N/A
9/30/2023	426	17	-25	87	N/A
6/30/2023	403	-46	-56	50	N/A
3/31/2023	396	-16	-45	72	N/A
12/31/2022	400	-5	-40	77	N/A
9/30/2022	390	2	-15	91	N/A
6/30/2022	387	76	18	110	N/A
3/31/2022	385	67	19	91	N/A
12/31/2021	383	186	17	81	N/A
9/30/2021	385	143	17	83	N/A
6/30/2021	402	142	59	124	N/A
3/31/2021	376	95	48	118	N/A
12/31/2020	375	-5	64	136	N/A
9/30/2020	364	-117	81	143	N/A
6/30/2020	335	-132	47	105	N/A
3/31/2020	336	-115	68	116	N/A
12/31/2019	313	-131	62	104	N/A
9/30/2019	294	26	53	92	N/A
6/30/2019	278	31	45	82	N/A
3/31/2019	270	-1	51	87	N/A
12/31/2018	257	-3	N/A	80	N/A
9/30/2018	260	-7	N/A	74	N/A
6/30/2018	237	-22	N/A	65	N/A
3/31/2018	224	43	N/A	54	N/A
12/31/2017	206	37	N/A	51	N/A
9/30/2017	186	17	N/A	41	N/A
6/30/2017	194	26	N/A	39	N/A
3/31/2017	187	-8	N/A	36	N/A
12/31/2016	176	4	N/A	33	N/A
9/30/2016	160	0	N/A	33	N/A
6/30/2016	149	-2	N/A	34	N/A
3/31/2016	133	1	N/A	34	N/A
12/31/2015	129	-13	N/A	33	N/A
9/30/2015	130	18	N/A	28	N/A
6/30/2015	124	24	N/A	19	N/A
3/31/2015	127	4	N/A	8	N/A
12/31/2014	123	-3	N/A	10	N/A
9/30/2014	118	-80	N/A	8	N/A
6/30/2014	127	-146	N/A	11	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ARIS's forecast earnings growth (68.4% per year) is above the savings rate (2.4%).

Earnings vs Market: ARIS's earnings (68.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (12% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ARIS's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: ARIS's revenue (21.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (3.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ARIS's revenue (21.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ARIS's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.8%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/05/16 06:08
End of Day Share Price	2025/05/16 00:00
Earnings	2025/03/31
Annual Earnings	2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Aris Mining Corporation is covered by 9 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Brian Quast	BMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Carey MacRury	Canaccord Genuity
Richard Gray	Cormark Securities Inc.

Aris Mining Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%

Aris Mining Corporation Provides Production Guidance for the Year 2025

Aris Mining Corporation Provides Production Guidance for the Year 2024

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 22%

Aris Mining Corporation Provides Production Guidance for the Full Year 2023

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 13%

Recent updates

Aris Mining's (TSE:ARIS) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

First quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: US$0.014 (vs US$0.005 loss in 1Q 2024)

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Aris Mining Corporation (TSE:ARIS) With Shares Advancing 30%

Aris Mining Corporation to Report Q1, 2025 Results on May 07, 2025

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%

CEO & Director exercised options and sold CA$310k worth of stock

CEO & Director exercised options and sold CA$174k worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%

Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.16 (vs US$0.084 in FY 2023)

Aris Mining Corporation's (TSE:ARIS) Subdued P/S Might Signal An Opportunity

Aris Mining Corporation, Annual General Meeting, May 15, 2025

Aris Mining Corporation to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Mar 12, 2025

Executive Vice President recently sold CA$104k worth of stock

Aris Mining Corporation Provides Production Guidance for the Year 2025

Insider recently bought CA$559k worth of stock

Third quarter 2024 earnings released: US$0.012 loss per share (vs US$0.091 profit in 3Q 2023)

Aris Mining Corporation to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 12, 2024

Executive Vice President exercised options and sold CA$494k worth of stock

Chief Financial Officer recently bought CA$133k worth of stock

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%

Insider recently sold CA$847k worth of stock

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.038 (vs US$0.061 in 2Q 2023)

Aris Mining Announces High Grade Drill Results from Ongoing 2024 Exploration Drilling Program at its Segovia Operations in Colombia

Aris Mining Corporation to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 13, 2024

Aris Mining Corporation (TSE:ARIS) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

Aris Mining Holdings Corp. entered into a binding agreement to acquire Soto Norte Gold project from AUX Colombia Ltda. for approximately $90 million.

We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Aris Mining's (TSE:ARIS) Earnings

First quarter 2024 earnings released: US$0.005 loss per share (vs US$0.04 loss in 1Q 2023)

Insider recently bought CA$396k worth of stock

Aris Mining Corporation to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 14, 2024

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Even With A 28% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Aris Mining Corporation's (TSE:ARIS) Performance Completely

Director exercised options to buy CA$533k worth of stock.

Director recently sold CA$537k worth of stock

Director recently sold CA$83k worth of stock

Is Aris Mining (TSE:ARIS) Using Too Much Debt?

Aris Mining Corporation, Annual General Meeting, May 16, 2024

Aris Mining Corporation to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Mar 06, 2024

Aris Mining Corporation Appoints Two Independent Directors

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%

Aris Mining Corporation's (TSE:ARIS) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion

Aris Mining Corporation Provides Production Guidance for the Year 2024

Aris Mining Corporation Provides NI 43-101 Technical Report for the Segovia Operations, Antioquia, Colombia

Aris Mining Corporation Announces Updated Mineral Reserve Estimates for Its Segovia Operations in Colombia

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 22%

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%

Aris Mining Corporation Provides Production Guidance for the Full Year 2023

Aris Mining Corporation Announces Updated Mineral Resource Estimate for Its Segovia Operations in Colombia Effective September 30, 2023

Aris Mining Corporation to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 08, 2023

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

These 4 Measures Indicate That Aris Mining (TSE:ARIS) Is Using Debt Extensively

Aris Mining Corporation Announces High Grade Drill Results from Ongoing Segovia Operations Exploration Program

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.061 (vs US$0.40 in 2Q 2022)

CEO & Director recently bought CA$403k worth of stock

Is Aris Mining (TSE:ARIS) Using Too Much Debt?

First quarter 2023 earnings released: US$0.04 loss per share (vs US$0.054 profit in 1Q 2022)

Director recently sold CA$275k worth of stock

High number of new and inexperienced directors

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 13%

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Executive Vice President & CFO recently bought CA$77k worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%, revenue downgraded

Aris Mining Corporation Provides Production Guidance for the Year 2023

Independent Director recently sold CA$1.6m worth of stock

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Aris Mining Corporation (TSE:ARIS)

Now 21% undervalued

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: US$0.48 loss per share (vs US$0.26 profit in 3Q 2021)