Aris Mining Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

We currently don't have sufficient analyst coverage to forecast growth and revenue for Aris Mining.

Key information

34.8%

Earnings growth rate

n/a

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth	15.4%
Revenue growth rate	22.5%
Future return on equity	16.9%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	29 May 2023

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Industry Analysts Just Made A Sizeable Upgrade To Their Gran Colombia Gold Corp. (TSE:GCM) Revenue Forecasts

Aug 18

It's Unlikely That Gran Colombia Gold Corp.'s (TSE:GCM) CEO Will See A Huge Pay Rise This Year

May 21

Is Gran Colombia Gold Corp. (TSE:GCM) A Strong Dividend Stock?

Feb 14

Introducing Gran Colombia Gold (TSE:GCM), The Stock That Zoomed 279% In The Last Five Years

Dec 23

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSX:ARIS - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2025	579	69	-131	268	3
12/31/2024	485	59	-98	254	3
12/31/2023	488	92	-90	164	3
3/31/2020	336	-115	68	116	N/A
12/31/2019	313	-131	62	104	N/A
9/30/2019	294	26	53	92	N/A
6/30/2019	278	31	45	82	N/A
3/31/2019	270	-1	51	87	N/A
12/31/2018	257	-3	44	80	N/A
9/30/2018	260	-7	41	74	N/A
6/30/2018	237	-22	34	65	N/A
3/31/2018	224	43	26	54	N/A
12/31/2017	206	37	26	51	N/A
9/30/2017	186	17	18	41	N/A
6/30/2017	194	26	17	39	N/A
3/31/2017	187	-8	17	36	N/A
12/31/2016	176	4	N/A	33	N/A
9/30/2016	160	0	N/A	33	N/A
6/30/2016	149	-2	N/A	34	N/A
3/31/2016	133	1	N/A	34	N/A
12/31/2015	129	-13	N/A	33	N/A
9/30/2015	130	18	N/A	28	N/A
6/30/2015	124	24	N/A	19	N/A
3/31/2015	127	4	N/A	8	N/A
12/31/2014	123	-3	N/A	10	N/A
9/30/2014	118	-80	N/A	8	N/A
6/30/2014	127	-146	N/A	11	N/A
3/31/2014	137	-185	N/A	16	N/A
12/31/2013	149	-165	N/A	14	N/A
9/30/2013	158	-123	N/A	19	N/A
6/30/2013	165	-70	N/A	20	N/A
3/31/2013	163	-28	N/A	21	N/A
12/31/2012	168	-36	N/A	13	N/A
9/30/2012	181	-14	N/A	0	N/A
6/30/2012	173	-19	N/A	-9	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ARIS is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (1.8%).

Earnings vs Market: ARIS is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: ARIS is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: ARIS's revenue (22.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (5.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ARIS's revenue (22.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ARIS's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (16.9%).

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Aris Mining Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

First quarter 2023 earnings released: US$0.04 loss per share (vs US$0.054 profit in 1Q 2022)

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 13%

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%, revenue downgraded

Aris Mining Corporation Provides Production Guidance for the Year 2023

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Recent updates

CEO & Director recently bought CA$403k worth of stock

Is Aris Mining (TSE:ARIS) Using Too Much Debt?

First quarter 2023 earnings released: US$0.04 loss per share (vs US$0.054 profit in 1Q 2022)

Director recently sold CA$275k worth of stock

High number of new and inexperienced directors

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 13%

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Executive Vice President & CFO recently bought CA$77k worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%, revenue downgraded

Aris Mining Corporation Provides Production Guidance for the Year 2023

Independent Director recently sold CA$1.6m worth of stock

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Aris Mining Corporation (TSE:ARIS)

Now 21% undervalued

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: US$0.48 loss per share (vs US$0.26 profit in 3Q 2021)

Aris Mining Corporation Updates Mineral Resource and Reserve Estimates and Preliminary Feasibility Study for Marmato Expansion Project

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Aris Mining Corporation Announces the Board of Directors and Leadership Team

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

GCM Mining Corp. (TSX:GCM) completed the acquisition of the remaining 55.7% stake in Aris Gold Corporation.

Is GCM Mining (TSE:GCM) Using Too Much Debt?

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.015 per share

GCM Mining (TSE:GCM) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.015

GCM Mining Declares September 15, 2022 Dividend, Payable on September 15, 2022

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$0.40 (vs US$0.41 in 2Q 2021)

GCM Mining Corp. Provides Production Guidance for the Year 2022

GCM Mining Corp. (TSX:GCM) entered into a definitive agreement to acquire remaining 55.7% stake in Aris Gold Corporation (TSX:ARIS) for approximately $100 million.

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.015 per share

GCM Mining Corp. to Report Q2, 2022 Results on Aug 11, 2022

GCM Mining (TSE:GCM) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.015

GCM Mining Corp. Declares Monthly Dividend, Payable on August 15, 2022

GCM Mining Declares Monthly Dividend, Payable on August 15, 2022

GCM Mining (TSE:GCM) Will Pay A Dividend Of CA$0.015

GCM Mining Corp. Announces Multiple High-Grade Drill Results from the 2022 In-Mine and Brownfield Drilling Campaigns At Its Segovia Operations

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.015 per share

GCM Mining Corp. Declares Monthly Dividend, Payable on July 15, 2022

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.015 per share

GCM Mining (TSE:GCM) Will Pay A Dividend Of CA$0.015

GCM Mining Corp. Declares Monthly Dividend, Payable on June 15, 2022

First quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$0.054 (vs US$2.02 in 1Q 2021)

GCM Mining Corp. Provides Production Guidance for the Year 2022

These 4 Measures Indicate That GCM Mining (TSE:GCM) Is Using Debt Extensively

Insufficient new directors

Gcm Mining Corp. Announces Next Monthly Dividend, Payable on May 16, 2022

Executive Chairman exercised options to buy CA$500k worth of stock.

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS: US$2.25 (vs US$0.077 loss in FY 2020)

GCM Mining Corp., Annual General Meeting, Jun 15, 2022

GCM Mining Corp. Provides Production Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2022

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.015 per share

GCM Mining Corp. Declares Monthly Dividend, Payable on March 15, 2022

GCM Mining Corp. Files Amends National Instrument 43-101 Technical Report for Its Toroparu Project

GCM Mining Announces Multiple High-Grade Drill Results at its El Silencio Mine from the 2021 Mine Geology Infill Drilling Campaign at its Segovia Operations

GCM Mining Files National Instrument 43-101 Technical Report for its Toroparu Project in Guyana

GCM Mining Corp. Announces Multiple High-Grade Drill Results from the Ongoing 2021 In-Mine and Brownfield Drilling Campaigns At Its Segovia Operations; Success Continues on the Brownfield Projects Including 62.34 G/T Au and 37.3 G/T Ag over 0.40 Meters from Initial Drilling At the La Guarida Vein

Insufficient new directors

Executive Chairman recently bought CA$62k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.015 per share

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS US$0.26 (vs US$0.39 in 3Q 2020)

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.015 per share

Independent Director recently bought CA$61k worth of stock

Independent Director recently bought CA$61k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.015 per share

Consensus forecasts updated

Industry Analysts Just Made A Sizeable Upgrade To Their Gran Colombia Gold Corp. (TSE:GCM) Revenue Forecasts

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS US$0.41 (vs US$0.27 loss in 2Q 2020)

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.015 per share

Executive Chairman recently bought CA$124k worth of stock