Aris Mining Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Aris Mining is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 68.4% and 21.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 59.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14.8% in 3 years.

Key information

68.4%

Earnings growth rate

59.21%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth25.2%
Revenue growth rate21.9%
Future return on equity14.85%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated16 May 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Aris Mining's (TSE:ARIS) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

May 14
Aris Mining's (TSE:ARIS) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Aris Mining Corporation (TSE:ARIS) With Shares Advancing 30%

May 07
Subdued Growth No Barrier To Aris Mining Corporation (TSE:ARIS) With Shares Advancing 30%

Aris Mining Corporation's (TSE:ARIS) Subdued P/S Might Signal An Opportunity

Mar 07
Aris Mining Corporation's (TSE:ARIS) Subdued P/S Might Signal An Opportunity

Aris Mining Corporation (TSE:ARIS) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

Jun 28
Aris Mining Corporation (TSE:ARIS) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Aris Mining's (TSE:ARIS) Earnings

May 22
We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Aris Mining's (TSE:ARIS) Earnings

Even With A 28% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Aris Mining Corporation's (TSE:ARIS) Performance Completely

Mar 29
Even With A 28% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Aris Mining Corporation's (TSE:ARIS) Performance Completely

Is Aris Mining (TSE:ARIS) Using Too Much Debt?

Mar 07
Is Aris Mining (TSE:ARIS) Using Too Much Debt?

Aris Mining Corporation's (TSE:ARIS) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion

Jan 19
Aris Mining Corporation's (TSE:ARIS) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion

These 4 Measures Indicate That Aris Mining (TSE:ARIS) Is Using Debt Extensively

Aug 30
These 4 Measures Indicate That Aris Mining (TSE:ARIS) Is Using Debt Extensively

Is Aris Mining (TSE:ARIS) Using Too Much Debt?

May 12
Is Aris Mining (TSE:ARIS) Using Too Much Debt?

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Aris Mining Corporation (TSE:ARIS)

Dec 17
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Aris Mining Corporation (TSE:ARIS)

Is GCM Mining (TSE:GCM) Using Too Much Debt?

Sep 21
Is GCM Mining (TSE:GCM) Using Too Much Debt?

GCM Mining (TSE:GCM) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.015

Aug 20
GCM Mining (TSE:GCM) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.015

GCM Mining (TSE:GCM) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.015

Jul 21
GCM Mining (TSE:GCM) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.015

GCM Mining (TSE:GCM) Will Pay A Dividend Of CA$0.015

Jun 29
GCM Mining (TSE:GCM) Will Pay A Dividend Of CA$0.015

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSX:ARIS - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20271,6044075695764
12/31/20261,2562802734184
12/31/2025776112752544
3/31/202556128-30189N/A
12/31/202451125-54141N/A
9/30/2024485-3-11173N/A
6/30/202446613-7087N/A
3/31/202445817-5384N/A
12/31/202344811-16105N/A
9/30/202342617-2587N/A
6/30/2023403-46-5650N/A
3/31/2023396-16-4572N/A
12/31/2022400-5-4077N/A
9/30/20223902-1591N/A
6/30/20223877618110N/A
3/31/2022385671991N/A
12/31/20213831861781N/A
9/30/20213851431783N/A
6/30/202140214259124N/A
3/31/20213769548118N/A
12/31/2020375-564136N/A
9/30/2020364-11781143N/A
6/30/2020335-13247105N/A
3/31/2020336-11568116N/A
12/31/2019313-13162104N/A
9/30/2019294265392N/A
6/30/2019278314582N/A
3/31/2019270-15187N/A
12/31/2018257-3N/A80N/A
9/30/2018260-7N/A74N/A
6/30/2018237-22N/A65N/A
3/31/201822443N/A54N/A
12/31/201720637N/A51N/A
9/30/201718617N/A41N/A
6/30/201719426N/A39N/A
3/31/2017187-8N/A36N/A
12/31/20161764N/A33N/A
9/30/20161600N/A33N/A
6/30/2016149-2N/A34N/A
3/31/20161331N/A34N/A
12/31/2015129-13N/A33N/A
9/30/201513018N/A28N/A
6/30/201512424N/A19N/A
3/31/20151274N/A8N/A
12/31/2014123-3N/A10N/A
9/30/2014118-80N/A8N/A
6/30/2014127-146N/A11N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ARIS's forecast earnings growth (68.4% per year) is above the savings rate (2.4%).

Earnings vs Market: ARIS's earnings (68.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (12% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ARIS's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: ARIS's revenue (21.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (3.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ARIS's revenue (21.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ARIS's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.8%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/16 06:08
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/16 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Aris Mining Corporation is covered by 9 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brian QuastBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Carey MacRuryCanaccord Genuity
Richard GrayCormark Securities Inc.