Stock Analysis

Aris Mining Corporation's (TSE:ARIS) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion

TSX:ARIS
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Aris Mining Corporation's (TSE:ARIS) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.9x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Canada, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 12x and even P/E's below 5x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Aris Mining certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Aris Mining

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:ARIS Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 19th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Aris Mining will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Aris Mining's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 490% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 110% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 6.4% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Aris Mining's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Aris Mining's P/E?

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Aris Mining's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Aris Mining that we have uncovered.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.