Stock Analysis

Lucara Diamond Corp. (TSE:LUC) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 27%

Lucara Diamond Corp. (TSE:LUC) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 27% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 26% share price drop.

After such a large drop in price, Lucara Diamond may look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x, considering almost half of all companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 3.2x and even P/S higher than 24x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Our free stock report includes 2 warning signs investors should be aware of before investing in Lucara Diamond. Read for free now.

See our latest analysis for Lucara Diamond

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:LUC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 13th 2025

What Does Lucara Diamond's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times haven't been great for Lucara Diamond as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Lucara Diamond.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Lucara Diamond?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Lucara Diamond would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 11%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 21% overall drop in revenue. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 13% over the next year. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 64%, which paints a poor picture.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Lucara Diamond's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On Lucara Diamond's P/S

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Lucara Diamond's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Lucara Diamond's P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Having said that, be aware Lucara Diamond is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:LUC

Lucara Diamond

A diamond mining company, engages in the development and operation of diamond properties in Africa.

Acceptable track record and slightly overvalued.

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