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Franco-Nevada (TSX:FNV): Revisiting Valuation After Lassonde’s Award and TSX Dividend Index Inclusion
Reviewed by Simply Wall St
Franco-Nevada (TSX:FNV) is back on investors radar after co founder Pierre Lassonde received a major lifetime achievement award and the company joined the TSX Composite Dividend Index, together spotlighting its royalty model and income profile.
See our latest analysis for Franco-Nevada.
Those headlines land at a time when sentiment is already tilting in Franco-Nevada’s favor, with a 67.54% year to date share price return and a 73.47% one year total shareholder return signaling strong, sustained momentum.
If you like how Franco-Nevada mixes resilience with income, it could be worth seeing what other income focused names are doing by exploring these 13 dividend stocks with yields > 3%.
With earnings and dividends rising alongside a more than 67 percent year-to-date rally, Franco-Nevada now trades within touching distance of analyst targets. This raises a key question: is there still upside left, or is future growth already priced in?
Most Popular Narrative: 14.2% Undervalued
With Franco-Nevada last closing at CA$292.32 against a narrative fair value of CA$340.59, the current rally still looks modest beside projected potential.
The Revenue Growth assumption has increased significantly from 7.60 percent to 19.71 percent, indicating a materially more optimistic outlook for top line expansion.
The Net Profit Margin expectation has improved from 65.98 percent to 68.36 percent, suggesting a stronger long term profitability profile.
Want to see what kind of business delivers that blend of faster growth and fatter margins, yet a lower future earnings multiple than before? The narrative walks through a detailed earnings roadmap, a richer revenue mix, and a valuation framework that leans on premium profitability rather than speculative hype. Curious how those moving parts add up to that fair value gap? Read on to unpack the full story behind the numbers.
Result: Fair Value of CA$340.59 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, sustained weakness in gold prices or disruptions at key assets like Candelaria could quickly erode the margin strength that underpins the undervaluation case.
Find out about the key risks to this Franco-Nevada narrative.
Another Angle on Valuation
Step away from fair value models and Franco-Nevada looks far from cheap. Its 44.5x earnings multiple towers over the sector, at 21.5x for the Canadian metals group and 30.1x for peers, and even sits well above a 24x fair ratio. This leaves investors asking how much optimism is already priced in.
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
Build Your Own Franco-Nevada Narrative
If you see the story differently or simply want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a personalized view in just minutes: Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Franco-Nevada research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSX:FNV
Franco-Nevada
Operates as a royalty and stream company focused on precious metals in South America, Central America, Mexico, the United States, Canada, Australia, Europe, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with moderate growth potential.
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