Stock Analysis

Calibre Mining (TSE:CXB) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

TSX:CXB
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Calibre Mining Corp. (TSE:CXB) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Calibre Mining

How Much Debt Does Calibre Mining Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2023, Calibre Mining had US$20.1m of debt, up from US$12.2m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$86.2m in cash, so it actually has US$66.1m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:CXB Debt to Equity History March 26th 2024

How Strong Is Calibre Mining's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Calibre Mining had liabilities of US$93.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$169.1m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$86.2m as well as receivables valued at US$9.86m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$166.3m.

Of course, Calibre Mining has a market capitalization of US$862.5m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Calibre Mining also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

On top of that, Calibre Mining grew its EBIT by 61% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Calibre Mining can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Calibre Mining has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, Calibre Mining created free cash flow amounting to 3.9% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Summing Up

Although Calibre Mining's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of US$66.1m. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 61% over the last year. So we are not troubled with Calibre Mining's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Calibre Mining is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Calibre Mining is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.