If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after investigating MAV Beauty Brands (TSE:MAV), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for MAV Beauty Brands:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.051 = US$21m ÷ (US$423m - US$16m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2021).
Therefore, MAV Beauty Brands has an ROCE of 5.1%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Personal Products industry average of 12%.
See our latest analysis for MAV Beauty Brands
In the above chart we have measured MAV Beauty Brands' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering MAV Beauty Brands here for free.
What Can We Tell From MAV Beauty Brands' ROCE Trend?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at MAV Beauty Brands doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 7.4% over the last four years. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
In Conclusion...
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by MAV Beauty Brands' reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. It seems that investors have little hope of these trends getting any better and that may have partly contributed to the stock collapsing 77% in the last three years. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
On a final note, we found 3 warning signs for MAV Beauty Brands (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSX:MAV
Old MAV Wind-Down
Old MAV Wind-Down Ltd. operates as a personal care company worldwide.
Good value with imperfect balance sheet.