We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. By way of example, Uranium Royalty (CVE:URC) has seen its share price rise 305% over the last year, delighting many shareholders. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.
Given its strong share price performance, we think it's worthwhile for Uranium Royalty shareholders to consider whether its cash burn is concerning. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.
View our latest analysis for Uranium Royalty
When Might Uranium Royalty Run Out Of Money?
A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. Uranium Royalty has such a small amount of debt that we'll set it aside, and focus on the CA$37m in cash it held at October 2020. In the last year, its cash burn was CA$5.5m. So it had a cash runway of about 6.8 years from October 2020. Even though this is but one measure of the company's cash burn, the thought of such a long cash runway warms our bellies in a comforting way. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.
How Is Uranium Royalty's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?
Because Uranium Royalty isn't currently generating revenue, we consider it an early-stage business. So while we can't look to sales to understand growth, we can look at how the cash burn is changing to understand how expenditure is trending over time. With cash burn dropping by 15% it seems management feel the company is spending enough to advance its business plans at an appropriate pace. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.
Can Uranium Royalty Raise More Cash Easily?
Even though it has reduced its cash burn recently, shareholders should still consider how easy it would be for Uranium Royalty to raise more cash in the future. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.
Since it has a market capitalisation of CA$269m, Uranium Royalty's CA$5.5m in cash burn equates to about 2.0% of its market value. So it could almost certainly just borrow a little to fund another year's growth, or else easily raise the cash by issuing a few shares.
How Risky Is Uranium Royalty's Cash Burn Situation?
It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Uranium Royalty is burning through its cash. For example, we think its cash runway suggests that the company is on a good path. Its weak point is its cash burn reduction, but even that wasn't too bad! Taking all the factors in this report into account, we're not at all worried about its cash burn, as the business appears well capitalized to spend as needs be. Taking an in-depth view of risks, we've identified 1 warning sign for Uranium Royalty that you should be aware of before investing.
Of course Uranium Royalty may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSX:URC
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.