Keyera Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 1/6
Keyera has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 13%, while the Oil and Gas industry saw earnings growing at 9.7% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 9.9% per year. Keyera's return on equity is 7.1%, and it has net margins of 2.8%.
Key information
12.96%
Earnings growth rate
12.09%
EPS growth rate
| Oil and Gas Industry Growth | 42.11% |
| Revenue growth rate | 9.92% |
| Return on equity | 7.13% |
| Net Margin | 2.82% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 30
KEY: KAPS Ownership And Rail Terminal Partnership Will Shape Balanced Forward Outlook
Keyera's fair value estimate has been revised modestly higher to CA$62.93, supported by a series of analyst price target increases into the low to high CA$60s. These reflect updated models, recent equity and acquisition activity around the Key Access Pipeline System, and views that recent results and marketing conditions are constructive for the company.Analysis Article • Jun 19
Keyera (TSX:KEY) Stock Could Be 8% Below Fair Value After Recent Pullback
How Keyera Stock Has Been Performing Keyera (TSX:KEY) has been on the radar for investors after a steady run, with the stock closing at CA$55.96 and showing mixed short term moves alongside stronger longer term total returns. Over the past week, the share price declined about 5%, and it is down roughly 5% over the past month. In contrast, year to date the total return is about 25%, with the past year around 33% and the past 3 years and 5 years each posting very large gains above 7x on a total...Narrative Update • Jun 16
KEY: Plains NGL Deal And Rail Project Will Shape Balanced Future Outlook
Keyera's updated analyst price target edges higher by about CA$0.36 to roughly CA$60.86. Analysts cite stronger recent results, supportive energy infrastructure updates, and positive views on the company’s marketing environment and recent natural gas liquids acquisition.Narrative Update • Jun 01
KEY: Recent Acquisition And ACE Rail Project Will Shape Future Upside And Execution Risks
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Keyera to CA$60.50 from CA$56.00. This reflects updated models that incorporate higher price targets from several firms and analyst views on stronger recent results, a supportive marketing backdrop and expected benefits from the recent natural gas liquids acquisition.Narrative Update • Apr 23
KEY: Balance Sheet Capacity Will Support Execution And Future Upside Potential
Keyera's updated fair value estimate has risen from CA$54.69 to CA$56.00, reflecting analysts' recent price target increases that highlight factors such as balance sheet capacity and modestly adjusted assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Keyera has focused on a series of higher price targets in the CA$54 to CA$58 range, with several firms reaffirming positive ratings on the shares.Narrative Update • Apr 08
KEY: Balance Sheet Capacity And Execution Risk Will Guide Future Fairly Valued Returns
Narrative Update on Keyera The updated analyst price target for Keyera edges higher to CA$54.69 from CA$54.46, reflecting recent target increases across several firms, as analysts point to what they see as underappreciated balance sheet capacity and adjust their P/E and growth assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Keyera clusters around higher price targets, with several firms adjusting their models and only a few trimming expectations.Narrative Update • Mar 25
KEY: Balance Sheet Capacity And Execution Risk Will Shape Future Fairly Valued Returns
Keyera's analyst price target is nudged higher as the model fair value edges up to CA$54.46. Analysts generally point to stronger perceived balance sheet capacity and a series of recent price target hikes across major firms.Narrative Update • Mar 11
KEY: Balance Sheet Capacity And Execution Risk Will Guide Balanced Future Returns
Keyera's fair value estimate edges up to about CA$54.31 from CA$54, as analysts lift price targets into the CA$54 to CA$58 range. They cite underappreciated balance sheet capacity and reaffirmed positive ratings across multiple firms.Narrative Update • Feb 24
KEY: Balance Sheet Capacity And Execution Risk Will Shape Future Share Performance
Analysts have nudged their average fair value estimate for Keyera higher to CA$54.00 from CA$51.69, citing a series of recent CA$1 to CA$7 price target increases across major firms that highlight what they see as underappreciated balance sheet capacity. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of price target changes around the low to high CA$50s, with several firms focusing on what they see as Keyera's financial flexibility and execution risk.Narrative Update • Feb 09
KEY: Mixed Margin Outlook And Steady Assumptions Will Shape Future Share Performance
Narrative Update on Keyera The analyst price target for Keyera has shifted as recent Street research, including a C$2 reduction at TD Securities, a C$1 increase at Scotiabank, and a move to C$51 from C$54 at BMO Capital, reflects updated views on its profit margin outlook and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Keyera centers on how its profit margins and P/E assumptions line up with current valuation, with some analysts trimming targets and others nudging them higher.Narrative Update • Jan 26
KEY: Execution On Projects And Cost Control Will Support Future Share Price Upside
Narrative Update on Keyera Our updated analyst price target for Keyera shifts slightly lower to about C$51.70 from roughly C$51.90. This reflects a mix of recent target cuts and raises from analysts who now factor in modestly adjusted growth, margin, discount rate, and P/E assumptions.Narrative Update • Jan 11
KEY: Revised Cash Flow Outlook Will Support Future Share Price Upside
Analysts have reduced their price target on Keyera to C$51 from C$54, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rates, revenue growth assumptions and expected P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show that analysts are adjusting their fair value views on Keyera, but still see a supportive backdrop for the stock relative to their rating stance.Narrative Update • Dec 25
KEY: Higher Uptime Will Drive Stronger Q3 Earnings And Share Price Upside
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Keyera by C$3 to C$45, citing expectations for sequentially stronger Q3 earnings and steady growth across the company’s core business. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts view the higher price target as supported by improving operational performance, particularly the anticipated sequential uplift in Q3 earnings driven by stronger uptime across base assets.Narrative Update • Dec 11
KEY: Improved Asset Uptime Will Support Stronger Earnings And Share Price Upside
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Keyera, with fair value estimates increasing from about C$50.71 to C$51.43. They cite expectations for sequential Q3 earnings improvement driven by higher base asset uptime and steady growth across the core business.Analysis Article • Sep 15
Keyera Corp.'s (TSE:KEY) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.4x Keyera Corp. ( TSE:KEY ) may be sending bearish signals at the...Analysis Article • Aug 31
Do Keyera's (TSE:KEY) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...Analysis Article • Aug 10
Keyera (TSE:KEY) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year
The board of Keyera Corp. ( TSE:KEY ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend by 3.8% on the 30th of...
New Narrative • Nov 27
Unlocking Growth Potential With Innovative Expansion And Strategic Resilience
Advancements in growth projects and infrastructure could boost net capacity, revenue, and margins through increased demand and service expansion.Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Keyera makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 6,394 | 180 | 171 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 6,854 | 432 | 172 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 7,095 | 431 | 186 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 7,269 | 530 | 187 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 7,378 | 546 | 180 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 7,138 | 487 | 180 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 7,504 | 447 | 168 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 7,003 | 340 | 155 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 6,784 | 357 | 155 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 7,053 | 424 | 157 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 6,527 | 293 | 153 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 6,782 | 338 | 146 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 7,160 | 352 | 133 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 7,060 | 328 | 116 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 7,023 | 500 | 107 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 6,501 | 447 | 101 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 5,657 | 352 | 110 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 4,985 | 324 | 108 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 3,957 | 159 | 92 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 3,473 | 123 | 93 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 2,970 | 62 | 93 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 3,013 | 62 | 74 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 3,288 | 167 | 98 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 3,410 | 288 | 98 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 3,840 | 494 | 87 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 3,617 | 444 | 106 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 3,774 | 588 | 93 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 4,101 | 468 | 106 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 4,218 | 350 | 101 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 4,465 | 403 | 100 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 4,350 | 317 | 101 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 3,954 | 321 | 83 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 3,654 | 281 | 85 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 3,413 | 290 | 81 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 3,080 | 236 | 76 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 2,934 | 250 | 88 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 2,743 | 243 | 79 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 2,500 | 217 | 79 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 2,429 | 202 | 91 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 2,454 | 260 | 79 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 2,477 | 215 | 79 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 2,521 | 202 | 83 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 2,837 | 211 | 74 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: KEY has a large one-off loss of CA$66.9M impacting its last 12 months of financial results to 31st March, 2026.
Growing Profit Margin: KEY's current net profit margins (2.8%) are lower than last year (7.4%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: KEY's earnings have grown by 13% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: KEY's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: KEY had negative earnings growth (-67%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Oil and Gas industry average (-14.8%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: KEY's Return on Equity (7.1%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/06 22:31 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/06 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Keyera Corp. is covered by 29 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Nathan Heywood | ATB Cormark |
| Brent Watson | ATB Cormark Historical (Cormark Securities) |
| Theresa Chen | Barclays |