Stock Analysis

Getting In Cheap On Keyera Corp. (TSE:KEY) Might Be Difficult

TSX:KEY
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When close to half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 13x, you may consider Keyera Corp. (TSE:KEY) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 19.2x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

Keyera certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Keyera

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:KEY Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 26th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Keyera's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Growth For Keyera?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Keyera's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 25% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 558% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 13% per year during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 7.9% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why Keyera is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On Keyera's P/E

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Keyera's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Keyera (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Keyera. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Keyera is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.