Stock Analysis

Kolibri Global Energy Inc. Just Beat EPS By 5.5%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

TSX:KEI
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It's been a pretty great week for Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (TSE:KEI) shareholders, with its shares surging 11% to CA$11.77 in the week since its latest full-year results. The result was positive overall - although revenues of US$59m were in line with what the analysts predicted, Kolibri Global Energy surprised by delivering a statutory profit of US$0.51 per share, modestly greater than expected. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

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TSX:KEI Earnings and Revenue Growth March 28th 2025

Following the latest results, Kolibri Global Energy's two analysts are now forecasting revenues of US$80.6m in 2025. This would be a major 37% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to jump 53% to US$0.78. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$81.5m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.75 in 2025. So the consensus seems to have become somewhat more optimistic on Kolibri Global Energy's earnings potential following these results.

See our latest analysis for Kolibri Global Energy

The consensus price target was unchanged at CA$12.85, implying that the improved earnings outlook is not expected to have a long term impact on value creation for shareholders.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Kolibri Global Energy'shistorical trends, as the 37% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 36% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 2.9% annually. So it's pretty clear that Kolibri Global Energy is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.

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The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Kolibri Global Energy's earnings potential next year. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CA$12.85, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2026, which can be seen for free on our platform here.

You can also see whether Kolibri Global Energy is carrying too much debt, and whether its balance sheet is healthy, for free on our platform here.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kolibri Global Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.