Olympia Financial Group Inc. (TSE:OLY) will pay a dividend of CA$0.60 on the 29th of August. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 5.6%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.
Olympia Financial Group's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Before this announcement, Olympia Financial Group was paying out 73% of earnings, but a comparatively small 70% of free cash flows. In general, cash flows are more important than earnings, so we are comfortable that the dividend will be sustainable going forward, especially with so much cash left over for reinvestment.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to fall by 8.6%. However, if the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 90%, meaning that most of the company's earnings are being paid out to shareholders.
Check out our latest analysis for Olympia Financial Group
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from CA$2.60 total annually to CA$7.20. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 11% over that duration. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Olympia Financial Group has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 22% per annum. However, Olympia Financial Group isn't reinvesting a lot back into the business, so we wonder how quickly it will be able to grow in the future.
Olympia Financial Group Looks Like A Great Dividend Stock
Overall, we like to see the dividend staying consistent, and we think Olympia Financial Group might even raise payments in the future. The earnings easily cover the company's distributions, and the company is generating plenty of cash. However, it is worth noting that the earnings are expected to fall over the next year, which may not change the long term outlook, but could affect the dividend payment in the next 12 months. All in all, this checks a lot of the boxes we look for when choosing an income stock.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Olympia Financial Group (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about. Is Olympia Financial Group not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.