Olympia Financial Group Inc.

TSX:OLY Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$256.5m

Olympia Financial Group Valuation

Is OLY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OLY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OLY (CA$106.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$166.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OLY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OLY?

Key metric: As OLY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for OLY. This is calculated by dividing OLY's market cap by their current earnings.
What is OLY's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.5x
EarningsCA$24.45m
Market CapCA$256.52m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OLY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OLY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18x
CKI Clarke
13.9xn/aCA$332.0m
WED Westaim
11.2xn/aCA$634.5m
AGF.B AGF Management
8.2x-7.7%CA$705.7m
LPC Lorne Park Capital Partners
38.7xn/aCA$68.9m
OLY Olympia Financial Group
10.5x-11.1%CA$256.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OLY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the peer average (18x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OLY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Capital Markets Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SEC Senvest Capital
3.4xn/aUS$567.26m
INXD INX Digital Company
0.3xn/aUS$15.92m
MAR.UN Marwest Apartment Real Estate Investment Trust
0.8xn/aUS$10.93m
CSOC.A Canso Select Opportunities
2.3xn/aUS$9.57m
OLY 10.5xIndustry Avg. 11.8xNo. of Companies9PE01632486480+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OLY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the Canadian Capital Markets industry average (11.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OLY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OLY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.5x
Fair PE Ratio7.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OLY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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