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GFL Environmental TSX:GFL Stock Report

Last Price

CA$64.48

Market Cap

CA$25.5b

7D

1.0%

1Y

45.9%

Updated

20 Dec, 2024

Data

Company Financials +

GFL Environmental Inc.

TSX:GFL Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$25.5b

GFL Stock Overview

Offers non-hazardous solid waste management and environmental services in Canada and the United States. More details

GFL fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation1/6
Future Growth3/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health3/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Trading at 18.5% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 113.72% per year

Risk Analysis

Shareholders have been diluted in the past year


My Notes

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Community Narratives

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WA
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts

Sale Of Environmental Services Segment Will Reduce Debt And Enable Share Buybacks

Key Takeaways GFL's strategy of focusing on recycling and renewable natural gas is driving revenue and earnings growth through disciplined pricing and operational efficiencies. The company aims to improve its financials by leveraging asset sales for debt repayment and stock buybacks, enhancing EPS and reducing leverage.
View narrative
CA$66.77
FV
3.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
6.77%
Revenue growth p.a.
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2users have followed this narrative
2 days ago author updated this narrative

GFL Environmental Inc. Competitors

Element Fleet Management

TSX:EFN

CA$11.5b

Boyd Group Services

TSX:BYD

CA$4.6b

Anaergia

TSX:ANRG

CA$135.4m

RediShred Capital

TSXV:KUT

CA$89.5m

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for GFL Environmental
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceCA$64.48
52 Week HighCA$68.43
52 Week LowCA$41.90
Beta1.07
1 Month Change1.86%
3 Month Change21.02%
1 Year Change45.88%
3 Year Change31.57%
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO187.86%

Recent News & Updates

We Think GFL Environmental (TSE:GFL) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Nov 01
We Think GFL Environmental (TSE:GFL) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Recent updates

We Think GFL Environmental (TSE:GFL) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Nov 01
We Think GFL Environmental (TSE:GFL) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

An Intrinsic Calculation For GFL Environmental Inc. (TSE:GFL) Suggests It's 27% Undervalued

Jul 12
An Intrinsic Calculation For GFL Environmental Inc. (TSE:GFL) Suggests It's 27% Undervalued

GFL Environmental Inc.'s (TSE:GFL) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

Jun 14
GFL Environmental Inc.'s (TSE:GFL) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

What Does GFL Environmental Inc.'s (TSE:GFL) Share Price Indicate?

May 24
What Does GFL Environmental Inc.'s (TSE:GFL) Share Price Indicate?

An Intrinsic Calculation For GFL Environmental Inc. (TSE:GFL) Suggests It's 23% Undervalued

Apr 09
An Intrinsic Calculation For GFL Environmental Inc. (TSE:GFL) Suggests It's 23% Undervalued

We Think GFL Environmental (TSE:GFL) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Feb 17
We Think GFL Environmental (TSE:GFL) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine GFL Environmental Inc. (TSE:GFL)?

Jan 30
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine GFL Environmental Inc. (TSE:GFL)?

Revenues Not Telling The Story For GFL Environmental Inc. (TSE:GFL)

Dec 22
Revenues Not Telling The Story For GFL Environmental Inc. (TSE:GFL)

Shareholder Returns

GFLCA Commercial ServicesCA Market
7D1.0%0.3%-3.7%
1Y45.9%28.5%15.0%

Return vs Industry: GFL exceeded the Canadian Commercial Services industry which returned 28.5% over the past year.

Return vs Market: GFL exceeded the Canadian Market which returned 15% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is GFL's price volatile compared to industry and market?
GFL volatility
GFL Average Weekly Movement3.4%
Commercial Services Industry Average Movement6.2%
Market Average Movement8.2%
10% most volatile stocks in CA Market17.6%
10% least volatile stocks in CA Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: GFL has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Canadian market.

Volatility Over Time: GFL's weekly volatility (3%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
200720,000Patrick Dovigigflenv.com

GFL Environmental Inc. offers non-hazardous solid waste management and environmental services in Canada and the United States. It offers solid waste management, liquid waste management, and soil remediation services, including collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal services for municipal, residential, and commercial, and industrial customers. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Vaughan, Canada.

GFL Environmental Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do GFL Environmental's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
GFL fundamental statistics
Market capCA$25.53b
Earnings (TTM)-CA$584.20m
Revenue (TTM)CA$7.76b

3.3x

P/S Ratio

-43.4x

P/E Ratio

Is GFL overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
GFL income statement (TTM)
RevenueCA$7.76b
Cost of RevenueCA$6.34b
Gross ProfitCA$1.42b
Other ExpensesCA$2.00b
Earnings-CA$584.20m

Last Reported Earnings

Sep 30, 2024

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-1.49
Gross Margin18.31%
Net Profit Margin-7.53%
Debt/Equity Ratio136.0%

How did GFL perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

0.1%

Current Dividend Yield

-4%

Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 22:41
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

GFL Environmental Inc. is covered by 26 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Christopher MurrayATB Capital Markets
Moses SuttonBarclays
Moses SuttonBarclays