GFL Environmental Inc.

TSX:GFL Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$25.3b

GFL Environmental Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

GFL Environmental is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 113.7% and 6.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 115.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.4% in 3 years.

Key information

113.7%

Earnings growth rate

115.3%

EPS growth rate

Commercial Services earnings growth76.9%
Revenue growth rate6.3%
Future return on equity10.4%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated19 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

GFL Environmental Inc. (TSE:GFL) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Dec 21
GFL Environmental Inc. (TSE:GFL) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

We Think GFL Environmental (TSE:GFL) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Nov 01
We Think GFL Environmental (TSE:GFL) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

An Intrinsic Calculation For GFL Environmental Inc. (TSE:GFL) Suggests It's 27% Undervalued

Jul 12
An Intrinsic Calculation For GFL Environmental Inc. (TSE:GFL) Suggests It's 27% Undervalued

GFL Environmental Inc.'s (TSE:GFL) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

Jun 14
GFL Environmental Inc.'s (TSE:GFL) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

What Does GFL Environmental Inc.'s (TSE:GFL) Share Price Indicate?

May 24
What Does GFL Environmental Inc.'s (TSE:GFL) Share Price Indicate?

An Intrinsic Calculation For GFL Environmental Inc. (TSE:GFL) Suggests It's 23% Undervalued

Apr 09
An Intrinsic Calculation For GFL Environmental Inc. (TSE:GFL) Suggests It's 23% Undervalued

We Think GFL Environmental (TSE:GFL) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Feb 17
We Think GFL Environmental (TSE:GFL) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine GFL Environmental Inc. (TSE:GFL)?

Jan 30
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine GFL Environmental Inc. (TSE:GFL)?

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSX:GFL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CAD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20268,9203521,1282,13911
12/31/20258,4052279611,94417
12/31/20247,852-5548111,53815
9/30/20247,759-5842691,376N/A
6/30/20247,634-675531,155N/A
3/31/20247,51891-301,051N/A
12/31/20237,51645-75980N/A
9/30/20237,454-130-77982N/A
6/30/20237,395-3331621,142N/A
3/31/20237,159-5432801,113N/A
12/31/20226,761-1843311,096N/A
9/30/20226,380-120218977N/A
6/30/20225,930-246219915N/A
3/31/20225,438-266142861N/A
12/31/20215,137-681251898N/A
9/30/20214,933-1,193237778N/A
6/30/20214,587-978319810N/A
3/31/20214,365-1,135306765N/A
12/31/20204,196-1,11674502N/A
9/30/20203,857-68922472N/A
6/30/20203,719-684-174297N/A
3/31/20203,557-636-238220N/A
12/31/20193,347-452-207251N/A
9/30/20193,068-450-151251N/A
6/30/20192,621-392-164188N/A
3/31/20192,242-520-27119N/A
12/31/20181,853-483-19319N/A
12/31/20171,333-101N/A126N/A
12/31/2016934-152N/A81N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GFL is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: GFL is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: GFL is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: GFL's revenue (6.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Canadian market (7.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GFL's revenue (6.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GFL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.4%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/24 13:23
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

GFL Environmental Inc. is covered by 26 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Christopher MurrayATB Capital Markets
Moses SuttonBarclays
Moses SuttonBarclays