Stock Analysis

Would GreenPower Motor (CVE:GPV) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

TSXV:GPV
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies GreenPower Motor Company Inc. (CVE:GPV) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for GreenPower Motor

What Is GreenPower Motor's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2022 GreenPower Motor had US$11.0m of debt, an increase on US$316.7k, over one year. On the flip side, it has US$1.07m in cash leading to net debt of about US$9.96m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:GPV Debt to Equity History January 10th 2023

How Strong Is GreenPower Motor's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, GreenPower Motor had liabilities of US$24.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$7.90m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$1.07m and US$5.02m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$26.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

GreenPower Motor has a market capitalization of US$48.6m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if GreenPower Motor can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, GreenPower Motor reported revenue of US$21m, which is a gain of 34%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

Despite the top line growth, GreenPower Motor still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$17m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through US$19m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with GreenPower Motor (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.