David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies CCR S.A. (BVMF:CCRO3) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for CCR
What Is CCR's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 CCR had debt of R$21.4b, up from R$17.0b in one year. However, it also had R$6.92b in cash, and so its net debt is R$14.5b.
How Healthy Is CCR's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, CCR had liabilities of R$7.92b due within 12 months, and liabilities of R$19.2b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had R$6.92b in cash and R$1.31b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling R$18.9b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of R$24.6b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on CCR's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
CCR has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.2 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 2.7 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Notably, CCR's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, which isn't ideal given the debt load. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if CCR can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, CCR generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 93% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Our View
When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for CCR was the fact that it seems able to convert EBIT to free cash flow confidently. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. In particular, interest cover gives us cold feet. We would also note that Infrastructure industry companies like CCR commonly do use debt without problems. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about CCR's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for CCR (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About BOVESPA:CCRO3
CCR
Provides infrastructure services for highway concessions, urban mobility, and airports in Brazil.
Solid track record and good value.