Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That bpost/SA (EBR:BPOST) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

ENXTBR:BPOST
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that bpost NV/SA (EBR:BPOST) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for bpost/SA

What Is bpost/SA's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that bpost/SA had €819.6m in debt in December 2022; about the same as the year before. But on the other hand it also has €1.05b in cash, leading to a €231.4m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTBR:BPOST Debt to Equity History April 20th 2023

A Look At bpost/SA's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that bpost/SA had liabilities of €1.82b falling due within a year, and liabilities of €1.48b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €1.05b as well as receivables valued at €927.3m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €1.31b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's €1.08b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. Given that bpost/SA has more cash than debt, we're pretty confident it can handle its debt, despite the fact that it has a lot of liabilities in total.

But the other side of the story is that bpost/SA saw its EBIT decline by 4.7% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine bpost/SA's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. bpost/SA may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, bpost/SA actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Summing Up

While bpost/SA does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of €231.4m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of €258m, being 104% of its EBIT. So we don't have any problem with bpost/SA's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with bpost/SA (including 1 which is concerning) .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.