Executive Summary
Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides postal, banking, and insurance services in Japan. More Details
Rewards
Risk Analysis
Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 5.6% per year for the next 3 years
Snowflake Analysis
Fair value second-rate dividend payer.
Similar Companies
Share Price & News
How has Japan Post Holdings's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?
Latest Share Price and Events
Stable Share Price: 6178 is not significantly more volatile than the rest of JP stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 4% a week.
Volatility Over Time: 6178's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.
Market Performance
7 Day Return
1.3%
6178
1.1%
JP Insurance
-2.6%
JP Market
1 Year Return
13.0%
6178
29.7%
JP Insurance
28.6%
JP Market
Return vs Industry: 6178 underperformed the JP Insurance industry which returned 29.7% over the past year.
Return vs Market: 6178 underperformed the JP Market which returned 28.6% over the past year.
Shareholder returns
| 6178 | Industry | Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Day | 1.3% | 1.1% | -2.6% |
| 30 Day | 0.9% | 1.5% | -4.0% |
| 90 Day | 4.5% | 2.3% | -4.0% |
| 1 Year | 18.5%13.0% | 35.3%29.7% | 31.4%28.6% |
| 3 Year | -15.2%-26.2% | -3.3%-14.7% | 11.3%3.5% |
| 5 Year | -17.1%-33.4% | 28.1%5.6% | 55.1%37.9% |
Long-Term Price Volatility Vs. Market
How volatile is Japan Post Holdings's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?
Simply Wall St News
No news available
Valuation
Is Japan Post Holdings undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?
8.46x
Price to Earnings (PE) ratio
Share Price vs. Fair Value
Below Fair Value: 6178 (¥945.6) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥829.03)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 6178 is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Price To Earnings Ratio
PE vs Industry: 6178 is good value based on its PE Ratio (8.5x) compared to the JP Insurance industry average (32.4x).
PE vs Market: 6178 is good value based on its PE Ratio (8.5x) compared to the JP market (16.2x).
Price to Earnings Growth Ratio
PEG Ratio: 6178's earnings are forecast to decline next year, so we can't calculate its PEG ratio.
Price to Book Ratio
PB vs Industry: 6178 is good value based on its PB Ratio (0.3x) compared to the JP Insurance industry average (0.9x).
Future Growth
How is Japan Post Holdings forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 6 analysts?
-5.6%
Forecasted annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: 6178's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-5.6% per year).
Earnings vs Market: 6178's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-5.6% per year).
High Growth Earnings: 6178's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: 6178's revenue (0.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the JP market (5.3% per year).
High Growth Revenue: 6178's revenue (0.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: 6178's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (3%).
Past Performance
How has Japan Post Holdings performed over the past 5 years?
16.9%
Historical annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue History
Quality Earnings: 6178 has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: 6178's current net profit margins (3.9%) are lower than last year (4.2%).
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: 6178's earnings have grown by 16.9% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: 6178's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: 6178 had negative earnings growth (-11.2%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Insurance industry average (-28.1%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: 6178's Return on Equity (3.4%) is considered low.
Financial Health
How is Japan Post Holdings's financial position?
Financial Position Analysis
Short Term Liabilities: 6178's short term assets (¥86,526.8B) do not cover its short term liabilities (¥203,438.8B).
Long Term Liabilities: 6178's short term assets (¥86,526.8B) exceed its long term liabilities (¥77,736.4B).
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
Debt Level: 6178's debt to equity ratio (154.8%) is considered high.
Reducing Debt: 6178's debt to equity ratio has increased from 113.5% to 154.8% over the past 5 years.
Debt Coverage: 6178's operating cash flow is negative, therefore debt is not well covered.
Interest Coverage: Insufficient data to determine if 6178's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT.
Balance Sheet
Dividend
What is Japan Post Holdings's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
5.29%
Current Dividend Yield
Dividend Yield vs Market
Notable Dividend: 6178's dividend (5.29%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the JP market (1.29%).
High Dividend: 6178's dividend (5.29%) is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the JP market (2.94%)
Stability and Growth of Payments
Stable Dividend: Whilst dividend payments have been stable, 6178 has been paying a dividend for less than 10 years.
Growing Dividend: 6178 has only been paying a dividend for 5 years, and since then payments have not increased.
Current Payout to Shareholders
Dividend Coverage: With its low payout ratio (22.4%), 6178's dividend payments are well covered by earnings.
Future Payout to Shareholders
Future Dividend Coverage: Insufficient data to determine if a dividend will be paid in 3 years and that it will be covered by earnings.
Next Steps
Management
How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?
3.7yrs
Average management tenure
CEO
Hiroya Masuda (69 yo)
1.33yrs
Tenure
Mr. Hiroya Masuda has been the President, Chief Executive Officer and Representative Executive Officer of Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd. since January 2020 and has been its Director since June 2020. He serv...
Leadership Team
Experienced Management: 6178's management team is considered experienced (3.7 years average tenure).
Board Members
Experienced Board: 6178's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 2.9 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.
Ownership
Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?
Insider Trading Volume
Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.
Ownership Breakdown
Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.
Top Shareholders
Company Information
Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.'s company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources
Key Information
- Name: Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.
- Ticker: 6178
- Exchange: TSE
- Founded: 1871
- Industry: Life and Health Insurance
- Sector: Insurance
- Market Cap: JP¥3.823t
- Shares outstanding: 4.04b
- Website: https://www.japanpost.jp
Number of Employees
Location
- Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.
- 3-1, Otemachi 2-chome
- Chiyoda-ku
- Tokyo
- 100-8791
- Japan
Listings
Biography
Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides postal, banking, and insurance services in Japan. It operates through Postal and Domestic Logistics, Post Office, International Logistics, ...
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2021/05/16 08:00 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2021/05/14 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2020/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2020/03/31 |
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.