Stock Analysis

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:6178) Price

TSE:6178
Source: Shutterstock

When close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 13x, you may consider Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:6178) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 17.3x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Japan Post Holdings hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Japan Post Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:6178 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 11th 2025
Keen to find out how analysts think Japan Post Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Japan Post Holdings' Growth Trending?

Japan Post Holdings' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 9.8%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 26% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 22% each year as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 9.7% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Japan Post Holdings is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Japan Post Holdings' P/E?

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Japan Post Holdings maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Japan Post Holdings with six simple checks.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSE:6178

Japan Post Holdings

Provides postal, banking, and insurance services in Japan.

Mediocre balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.

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