Stock Analysis

KBC Group (EBR:KBC) Is Increasing Its Dividend To €6.70

ENXTBR:KBC
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KBC Group NV's (EBR:KBC) dividend will be increasing to €6.70 on 12th of May. This makes the dividend yield 15%, which is above the industry average.

View our latest analysis for KBC Group

KBC Group Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. The last dividend was quite easily covered by KBC Group's earnings. This means that a large portion of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

The next 12 months is set to see EPS grow by 2.5%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 133%, which probably can't continue putting some pressure on the balance sheet.

historic-dividend
ENXTBR:KBC Historic Dividend March 10th 2022

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least 1 cut in the last 10 years. The first annual payment during the last 10 years was €0.75 in 2012, and the most recent fiscal year payment was €6.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 23% over that duration. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Although it's important to note that KBC Group's earnings per share has basically not grown from where it was five years ago, which could erode the purchasing power of the dividend over time. Growth of 1.6% per annum is not particularly high, which might explain why the company is paying out a higher proportion of earnings. This isn't necessarily bad, but we wouldn't expect rapid dividend growth in the future.

In Summary

Overall, this is a reasonable dividend, and it being raised is an added bonus. The payout ratio looks good, but unfortunately the company's dividend track record isn't stellar. The dividend looks okay, but there have been some issues in the past, so we would be a little bit cautious.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for KBC Group that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is KBC Group not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.