KBC Group Valuation

Is KBC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KBC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KBC (€71.24) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€139.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KBC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KBC?

Key metric: As KBC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KBC. This is calculated by dividing KBC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KBC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.8x
Earnings€2.89b
Market Cap€28.19b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KBC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KBC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.1x
017250539 BNP Paribas Fortis
5.7xn/a€16.5b
KBCA KBC Ancora
10.2x3.2%€3.7b
009789111 BGL BNP Paribas
4.3xn/a€2.5b
DNB DNB Bank
8.3x-7.8%NOK 340.4b
KBC KBC Group
9.8x2.1%€28.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KBC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the peer average (7.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KBC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
KBC 9.8xIndustry Avg. 7.5xNo. of Companies40PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KBC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KBC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KBC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.8x
Fair PE Ratio10x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KBC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KBC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€71.24
€78.33
+9.9%
8.2%€90.00€68.00n/a17
Dec ’25€68.24
€77.56
+13.7%
8.2%€90.00€68.00n/a17
Nov ’25€68.44
€76.52
+11.8%
7.8%€87.00€67.00n/a17
Oct ’25€70.28
€77.03
+9.6%
7.9%€87.10€67.00n/a18
Sep ’25€70.34
€76.23
+8.4%
10.1%€91.00€60.50n/a18
Aug ’25€69.44
€75.58
+8.8%
10.1%€91.00€60.50n/a18
Jul ’25€66.16
€75.55
+14.2%
10.1%€91.00€60.50n/a18
Jun ’25€66.86
€75.55
+13.0%
10.1%€91.00€60.50n/a18
May ’25€69.90
€74.76
+7.0%
9.6%€86.00€60.50n/a18
Apr ’25€69.42
€73.41
+5.7%
9.1%€84.00€60.50n/a18
Mar ’25€65.86
€71.07
+7.9%
10.5%€84.00€58.00n/a19
Feb ’25€59.20
€68.85
+16.3%
10.8%€82.00€54.50n/a20
Jan ’25€58.72
€67.53
+15.0%
11.7%€82.00€54.50n/a20
Dec ’24€53.38
€67.46
+26.4%
11.5%€82.00€54.10€68.2420
Nov ’24€51.90
€70.32
+35.5%
10.6%€87.00€56.50€68.4419
Oct ’24€59.14
€74.26
+25.6%
10.4%€87.00€61.00€70.2819
Sep ’24€60.64
€74.05
+22.1%
10.2%€87.00€61.00€70.3420
Aug ’24€67.64
€74.32
+9.9%
10.7%€90.00€61.00€69.4420
Jul ’24€63.92
€73.94
+15.7%
10.9%€90.00€61.00€66.1619
Jun ’24€61.50
€74.42
+21.0%
10.6%€90.00€61.00€66.8619
May ’24€64.78
€75.69
+16.8%
9.6%€90.00€61.00€69.9019
Apr ’24€63.30
€74.08
+17.0%
13.7%€90.00€43.63€69.4220
Mar ’24€70.28
€73.83
+5.1%
12.8%€90.00€43.63€65.8620
Feb ’24€67.90
€69.33
+2.1%
13.0%€85.00€43.63€59.2019
Jan ’24€60.08
€67.51
+12.4%
13.8%€82.00€43.63€58.7218
Dec ’23€52.82
€67.07
+27.0%
13.6%€82.00€43.63€53.3818

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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