Stock Analysis

There Is A Reason Lendlease Group's (ASX:LLC) Price Is Undemanding

ASX:LLC
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Lendlease Group's (ASX:LLC) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Real Estate industry in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.5x and even P/S above 6x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Lendlease Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:LLC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 1st 2025

What Does Lendlease Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Lendlease Group's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Lendlease Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Lendlease Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Lendlease Group would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 11% decrease to the company's top line. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 10% per year as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 6.5% per year.

In light of this, it's understandable that Lendlease Group's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

What Does Lendlease Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Lendlease Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Lendlease Group that you need to be mindful of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.