Stock Analysis

3 ASX Stocks Estimated To Be Trading Up To 47.3% Below Intrinsic Value

As the Australian stock market experiences a modest upswing amid geopolitical developments and commodity fluctuations, investors are keenly observing opportunities that may arise from undervalued stocks. In this context, identifying stocks trading below their intrinsic value can be particularly appealing, as they present potential for growth when market conditions stabilize.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Vault Minerals (ASX:VAU)A$0.715A$1.1738.6%
Superloop (ASX:SLC)A$3.20A$5.6643.5%
Resimac Group (ASX:RMC)A$1.12A$2.1748.3%
NRW Holdings (ASX:NWH)A$4.81A$9.1347.3%
Liontown Resources (ASX:LTR)A$1.22A$2.1242.4%
James Hardie Industries (ASX:JHX)A$34.13A$61.3044.3%
Credit Clear (ASX:CCR)A$0.285A$0.4739.2%
CleanSpace Holdings (ASX:CSX)A$0.70A$1.3849.3%
Betmakers Technology Group (ASX:BET)A$0.195A$0.3238.7%
Airtasker (ASX:ART)A$0.37A$0.7148.1%

Click here to see the full list of 32 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Here we highlight a subset of our preferred stocks from the screener.

Eagers Automotive (ASX:APE)

Overview: Eagers Automotive Limited owns and operates motor vehicle dealerships in Australia and New Zealand, with a market cap of A$7.97 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue primarily from car retailing, amounting to A$12.23 billion, with an additional contribution of A$54.69 million from property.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 14.0%

Eagers Automotive is trading at A$30.57, below its fair value estimate of A$35.54, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite a recent strategic partnership with Mitsubishi and a follow-on equity offering raising A$501 million, interest payments are not well covered by earnings. However, earnings are forecast to grow significantly at 21.6% annually over the next three years, surpassing the Australian market's growth rate of 14.3%.

ASX:APE Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
ASX:APE Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

NRW Holdings (ASX:NWH)

Overview: NRW Holdings Limited offers diversified contract services to the resources and infrastructure sectors in Australia, with a market cap of A$2.21 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is derived from three main segments: Mining at A$1.54 billion, MET at A$932.02 million, and Civil at A$823.72 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 47.3%

NRW Holdings is trading at A$4.81, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$9.13, suggesting undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite a decline in net income to A$27.67 million for FY2025 and insider selling, earnings are projected to grow substantially at 30.6% annually over the next three years, outpacing the Australian market's growth rate of 14.3%. However, the dividend yield of 3.43% is not adequately covered by earnings.

ASX:NWH Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
ASX:NWH Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

Vault Minerals (ASX:VAU)

Overview: Vault Minerals Limited is involved in the exploration, mine development, operations and sale of gold and gold/copper concentrate in Australia and Canada, with a market cap of A$4.85 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments consist of Deflector (A$477.79 million), Sugar Zone (A$0.23 million), Mount Monger (A$287.58 million) and Leonora Operation (A$666.50 million).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 38.6%

Vault Minerals, currently priced at A$0.72, is trading well below its estimated fair value of A$1.17, highlighting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. The company has shown a turnaround with net income reaching A$236.98 million from a loss last year and sales jumping to A$1.43 billion from A$620 million. Earnings are forecast to grow significantly at 21% annually over the next three years, supported by a share repurchase program targeting up to 10% of issued capital.

ASX:VAU Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
ASX:VAU Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

Key Takeaways

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About ASX:VAU

Vault Minerals

Engages in the exploration, mine development, mine operations and the sale of gold and gold/copper concentrate in Australia and Canada.

Flawless balance sheet and good value.

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