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Improved Earnings Required Before Rand Mining Limited (ASX:RND) Shares Find Their Feet
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.6x Rand Mining Limited (ASX:RND) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Australia have P/E ratios greater than 21x and even P/E's higher than 39x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
The earnings growth achieved at Rand Mining over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this respectable earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Rand Mining
How Is Rand Mining's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Rand Mining's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 17%. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 37% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 23% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's understandable that Rand Mining's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
What We Can Learn From Rand Mining's P/E?
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Rand Mining maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Rand Mining that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Rand Mining's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:RND
Rand Mining
Engages in the exploration, development, and production of mineral properties in Australia.
Flawless balance sheet and fair value.
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