Stock Analysis

Evolution Mining Limited's (ASX:EVN) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce

ASX:EVN
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Those holding Evolution Mining Limited (ASX:EVN) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 28% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Looking further back, the 18% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 20x, you may consider Evolution Mining as a stock to avoid entirely with its 47.2x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Evolution Mining has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Evolution Mining

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:EVN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 2nd 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Evolution Mining's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Growth For Evolution Mining?

Evolution Mining's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 52% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 64% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 52% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 17% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Evolution Mining is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

The strong share price surge has got Evolution Mining's P/E rushing to great heights as well. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Evolution Mining maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Evolution Mining you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Evolution Mining might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.