Evolution Mining Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Evolution Mining is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 9.3% and 4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14.6% in 3 years.

Key information

9.3%

Earnings growth rate

9.0%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth	10.5%
Revenue growth rate	4.0%
Future return on equity	14.6%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	18 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Evolution Mining Limited Just Recorded A 8.2% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Aug 17

Evolution Mining Limited Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Feb 15

Recent updates

Is Evolution Mining (ASX:EVN) A Risky Investment?

Oct 24

Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In Evolution Mining Limited (ASX:EVN)

Sep 21

Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Evolution Mining's (ASX:EVN) Earnings

Aug 21

Evolution Mining Limited Just Recorded A 8.2% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Aug 17

Does Evolution Mining (ASX:EVN) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

May 03

Evolution Mining Limited's (ASX:EVN) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce

Apr 02

An Intrinsic Calculation For Evolution Mining Limited (ASX:EVN) Suggests It's 30% Undervalued

Mar 06

There May Be Reason For Hope In Evolution Mining's (ASX:EVN) Disappointing Earnings

Feb 20

Evolution Mining Limited Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Feb 15

Evolution Mining Limited (ASX:EVN) Not Flying Under The Radar

Jan 04

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:EVN - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	4,034	868	835	1,576	14
6/30/2026	3,908	837	741	1,480	15
6/30/2025	3,885	697	531	1,414	15
6/30/2024	3,216	422	363	1,281	N/A
3/31/2024	2,825	291	206	1,073	N/A
12/31/2023	2,434	159	48	864	N/A
9/30/2023	2,331	161	-27	800	N/A
6/30/2023	2,227	164	-103	735	N/A
3/31/2023	2,263	248	-59	740	N/A
12/31/2022	2,299	333	-15	744	N/A
9/30/2022	2,182	328	46	761	N/A
6/30/2022	2,065	323	108	777	N/A
3/31/2022	1,923	265	111	709	N/A
12/31/2021	1,780	207	114	641	N/A
9/30/2021	1,822	276	217	699	N/A
6/30/2021	1,864	345	320	757	N/A
3/31/2021	1,945	364	412	876	N/A
12/31/2020	2,026	383	504	996	N/A
9/30/2020	1,984	342	520	1,000	N/A
6/30/2020	1,942	302	536	1,005	N/A
3/31/2020	1,797	288	479	905	N/A
12/31/2019	1,652	274	423	805	N/A
9/30/2019	1,581	246	350	710	N/A
6/30/2019	1,510	218	276	616	N/A
3/31/2019	1,512	225	299	637	N/A
12/31/2018	1,515	232	321	658	N/A
9/30/2018	1,527	248	363	686	N/A
6/30/2018	1,540	263	406	714	N/A
3/31/2018	1,546	233	N/A	696	N/A
12/31/2017	1,551	203	N/A	677	N/A
9/30/2017	1,515	211	N/A	664	N/A
6/30/2017	1,480	218	N/A	651	N/A
3/31/2017	1,456	173	N/A	654	N/A
12/31/2016	1,433	128	N/A	658	N/A
9/30/2016	1,381	52	N/A	616	N/A
6/30/2016	1,329	-24	N/A	574	N/A
3/31/2016	1,144	2	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2015	948	42	N/A	362	N/A
9/30/2015	807	71	N/A	323	N/A
6/30/2015	666	100	N/A	285	N/A
3/31/2015	647	85	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2014	639	58	N/A	224	N/A
9/30/2014	636	54	N/A	213	N/A
6/30/2014	634	50	N/A	202	N/A
3/31/2014	619	-131	N/A	224	N/A
12/31/2013	604	-313	N/A	246	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: EVN's forecast earnings growth (9.3% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: EVN's earnings (9.3% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (12.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: EVN's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: EVN's revenue (4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (5.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: EVN's revenue (4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: EVN's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.6%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/21 03:34
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Evolution Mining Limited is covered by 38 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Kurt Worden	APP Securities Pty Ltd.
Russell Wright	Barclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Mollie Urquhart	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited

Evolution Mining Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 9.1% to AU$4.55

Evolution Mining Limited Just Recorded A 8.2% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 14%

Evolution Mining Limited Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%

Recent updates

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

Evolution Reportedly Plans to Sell Mungari Gold Mine

Evolution Mining Limited to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Apr 15, 2025

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

Is Evolution Mining (ASX:EVN) A Risky Investment?

Harmony Gold Reportedly Eyes $2 Billion Ravenswood Gold Mine

Price target increased by 9.1% to AU$4.55

Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In Evolution Mining Limited (ASX:EVN)

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Now 20% undervalued

Executive Chairman recently sold AU$4.3m worth of stock

Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Evolution Mining's (ASX:EVN) Earnings

Evolution Mining Limited Just Recorded A 8.2% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Final dividend of AU$0.05 announced

Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Does Evolution Mining (ASX:EVN) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Evolution Mining Limited's (ASX:EVN) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce

Evolution Mining Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 21, 2024

Evolution Mining Limited to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Oct 16, 2024

An Intrinsic Calculation For Evolution Mining Limited (ASX:EVN) Suggests It's 30% Undervalued

Evolution Mining Limited to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Jul 18, 2024

There May Be Reason For Hope In Evolution Mining's (ASX:EVN) Disappointing Earnings

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.02 per share

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 14%

First half dividend of AU$0.02 announced

First half 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Evolution Mining Limited Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Evolution Mining Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Feb 14, 2024

Evolution Mining Limited to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Apr 17, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%

Evolution Mining Limited (ASX:EVN) Not Flying Under The Radar

Evolution Mining Limited to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Jan 17, 2024

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Evolution Mining Limited has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 525.000001 million.

Evolution Mining Limited has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 60.000001 million.

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%

Executive Chairman recently sold AU$3.7m worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.02 per share at 1.2% yield

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

Evolution Mining Limited Declares a Fully Franked Final Dividend for the Year 2023, Payable on 6 October 2023

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 14%

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

Insufficient new directors

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.02 per share at 1.4% yield

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.055 (vs AU$0.05 in 1H 2022)

Evolution Mining Limited Declares Fully Franked Interim Dividend for the Half-Year Ended December 31, 2022, Payable on June 6, 2023

Evolution Mining Limited to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Jul 20, 2023

Price target increased by 12% to AU$3.20

Evolution Mining Limited Announces Continued Exploration Success At Ernest Henry

Evolution Mining Limited to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Jan 19, 2023

Evolution Mining Limited Announces Significant New Copper-Gold Extensions At Ernest Henry

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Musgrave Minerals Ltd. Reports Further Assay Results from Diamond and Aircore Drilling Programs on the Cue Joint Venture with Evolution Mining Ltd in Western Australia's Murchison District

Evolution Mining Limited Announces Mt Rawdon Pumped Hydro Receives Coordinated Project Status

Evolution Mining Limited Announces Appointment of Lawrie Conway as Chief Executive Officer, Effective 1 January 2023

Evolution Mining Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 24, 2022

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.03 per share

Evolution Mining Limited Declares Fully Franked Final Dividend for 2022, Payable on 30 September 2022

Evolution Mining Limited Announces Material Increase in Ernest Henry Mineral Resource

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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