Evolution Mining Limited

ASX:EVN Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$26.5b

Evolution Mining Dividends and Buybacks

Dividend criteria checks 4/6

Evolution Mining is a dividend paying company with a current yield of 3.07% that is well covered by earnings.

Key information

3.1%

Dividend yield

-0.08%

Buyback Yield

Total Shareholder Yield3.0%
Future Dividend Yield4.0%
Dividend Growth12.4%
Next dividend pay daten/a
Ex dividend daten/a
Dividend per sharen/a
Payout ratio50%

Recent dividend and buyback updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 09

EVN: Optimistic Commodity Assumptions Will Likely Restrain Future Share Returns

Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their price targets on Evolution Mining into a higher A$11.50 to A$14.50 range, citing refreshed commodity price forecasts, higher assumed profit margins and a P/E closer to 12x that feed through to a higher fair value estimate. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Evolution Mining highlights a split view.
Narrative Update Apr 22

EVN: Higher Metal Price Assumptions Will Support Dividend Strength Under Rising Geopolitical Risk

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Evolution Mining from A$18.25 to A$18.70, reflecting updated commodity price decks and price target increases across recent research that reassess the stock under tighter commodity balances and higher geopolitical risk. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Evolution Mining has become more constructive, with several bullish analysts revisiting their assumptions on commodity prices and risk.
Narrative Update Apr 08

EVN: Higher Metal Price Assumptions Will Support Dividend And Earnings Resilience

Analysts have lifted the price target on Evolution Mining to A$14.50 from A$9.90, citing updated commodity price decks, higher long-term metal price assumptions and a shift in sector views that now place the stock at or near sector perform or hold ratings. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a clear shift in how the street is framing Evolution Mining, with several bullish analysts revisiting their assumptions on metal prices and risk, then feeding those changes into updated valuation work.
Narrative Update Mar 24

EVN: Higher Commodity Decks Will Likely Support Repriced Earnings Power

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Evolution Mining from A$13.17 to A$13.91, reflecting higher price targets across the Street as they refresh commodity price decks and factor in updated views on gold and broader metals markets. Analyst Commentary Street research on Evolution Mining has shifted meaningfully in recent weeks as analysts refresh commodity price assumptions and update valuation models.
Narrative Update Mar 09

EVN: Updated Commodity Assumptions And Dividend Outlook Will Support Stronger Future Profitability

Narrative Update on Evolution Mining The analyst fair value estimate for Evolution Mining has shifted from A$14.25 to A$18.25, with analysts pointing to updated commodity price decks and refreshed gold and precious metals models. These updates have also led to higher price targets in recent Street research.
Narrative Update Feb 23

EVN: Higher Commodity Assumptions Will Likely Fail To Justify Elevated Pricing

Narrative Update Overview The updated analyst work on Evolution Mining lifts the fair value estimate from A$12.63 to A$13.17, reflecting higher commodity price assumptions and refreshed models that have also seen Street price targets move higher into the A$11.50 to A$13.75 range. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from covering analysts show a mixed but constructive setup for Evolution Mining, with higher price targets on the back of refreshed commodity price decks and valuation work.
Analysis Article Feb 11

What Evolution Mining Limited's (ASX:EVN) 26% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Despite an already strong run, Evolution Mining Limited ( ASX:EVN ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in...
Narrative Update Feb 09

EVN: Higher Metal Price Assumptions Will Likely Fail To Offset Rich Pricing

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Evolution Mining from A$10.23 to A$12.63, with updated models and a new precious metals price deck resulting in a higher A$13.75 price target, even as the stock is now rated Hold. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture for Evolution Mining, with higher valuation benchmarks but more tempered expectations around upside from current levels.
Narrative Update Jan 26

EVN: Rich Precious Metal Assumptions Will Likely Cap Future Share Upside

Narrative update The analyst price target for Evolution Mining has been lifted to A$13.75 from A$12.45, with analysts pointing to updated models that reflect their new precious metals price deck and refreshed assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have shifted to a more cautious stance on Evolution Mining, even as their price target has been set at A$13.75 compared with the prior A$12.45.
Narrative Update Jan 11

EVN: Joint Venture Lithium Project Will Support Stronger Future Profitability

Analysts have lifted their price target on Evolution Mining from A$8.90 to A$14.25, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly higher future P/E multiple as key drivers of the change. What's in the News Surge Battery Metals USA Inc.
Narrative Update Dec 25

EVN: Premium Gold Price Assumptions Will Likely Expose Downside Risk

Analysts have raised their price target on Evolution Mining by A$2.00 to A$10.50, reflecting upgraded fair value assumptions driven by higher gold price expectations and improved forecasts for revenue growth and profit margins. Analyst Commentary The latest price target revision to A$10.50 from A$8.50 by JPMorgan underscores a constructive view on Evolution Mining, supported by a stronger gold price outlook and expectations for margin expansion.
Narrative Update Dec 11

EVN: Higher Gold Prices Will Likely Prove Insufficient Against Rising Cost Pressures

Analysts have raised their price target on Evolution Mining from A$10.05 to A$10.23, citing higher forecast gold prices, slightly stronger revenue growth and margins, and a modestly lower future P/E multiple in their updated valuation work. Analyst Commentary JPMorgan recently raised its price target on Evolution Mining to A$10.50 from A$8.50 and reiterated an Overweight rating, reflecting a more constructive outlook on sector fundamentals and the company’s leverage to higher gold prices.
Narrative Update Nov 26

EVN: Gold Price Gains Will Likely Face Risks From Cost Pressures

Narrative Update on Evolution Mining Analysts have increased their price target for Evolution Mining from A$9.93 to A$10.05. This change is attributed to improved revenue growth and profit margins, as well as favorable outlooks for gold prices.
Analysis Article Nov 13

Evolution Mining Limited's (ASX:EVN) CEO Looks Like They Deserve Their Pay Packet

Key Insights Evolution Mining's Annual General Meeting to take place on 20th of November CEO Lawrie Conway's total...
Narrative Update Nov 08

EVN: Gold Price Strength And Stable Outlook Will Shape Next Phase

Analysts have increased their price target for Evolution Mining from A$8.50 to A$10.50, with stronger gold prices cited as the primary driver behind this upward revision. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have raised their outlook on Evolution Mining following continued strength in gold prices.
Narrative Update Oct 25

Rising Gold Prices And Margins Will Increase Confidence Despite Market Uncertainty

Analysts have raised their price target for Evolution Mining from A$8.72 to A$9.93. They cite stronger gold prices, improved revenue growth forecasts, and higher expected profit margins as key drivers behind the update.
Narrative Update Oct 11

Gold Safe-Haven Demand Will Boost Outlook While Costs Persist

Analysts have raised their price target for Evolution Mining from A$8.50 to A$10.50, as a result of improved gold price forecasts and stronger growth expectations. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are optimistic about Evolution Mining's ability to capitalize on rising gold prices, which is anticipated to have a positive effect on revenues and profitability.
Analysis Article Sep 27

Does Evolution Mining (ASX:EVN) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Narrative Update Sep 27

Gold Safe-Haven Demand Will Boost Outlook While Costs Persist

The consensus analyst price target for Evolution Mining has been raised to A$7.73, primarily reflecting improved outlooks for both revenue growth and net profit margin. What's in the News Evolution Mining formed a JV with Surge Battery Metals for the development of the Nevada North Lithium Project, initially holding a 23% interest, with potential to increase to 32.5% upon staged funding of up to CAD 10 million.
Narrative Update Sep 12

Gold Safe-Haven Demand Will Boost Outlook While Costs Persist

The consensus analyst price target for Evolution Mining has been revised upward to A$7.48, citing limited near-term catalysts after recent share outperformance. Analyst Commentary Limited near-term catalysts following recent stock outperformance.
Analysis Article Sep 11

There's Reason For Concern Over Evolution Mining Limited's (ASX:EVN) Massive 26% Price Jump

Evolution Mining Limited ( ASX:EVN ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period...
Narrative Update Aug 27

Gold Safe-Haven Demand Will Boost Outlook While Costs Persist

Despite a notable downgrade in consensus revenue growth forecasts and an increase in the future P/E multiple, Evolution Mining’s consensus analyst price target has only marginally increased from A$7.12 to A$7.22. What's in the News Reported FY25 gold production of 750,512 oz (up from 716,700 oz) and copper production of 76,261 oz (up from 67,862 oz).
Analysis Article Jul 16

Calculating The Fair Value Of Evolution Mining Limited (ASX:EVN)

Key Insights The projected fair value for Evolution Mining is AU$8.55 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...
Analysis Article May 16

Here's Why Evolution Mining (ASX:EVN) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
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New Narrative Dec 02

Exploration Success And Cowal Underground Expansion To Boost Earnings And Margins

Successful exploration and latent capacity leverage could enhance future earnings and cost efficiency, improving net margins.

Stability and Growth of Payments

Fetching dividends data

Stable Dividend: EVN's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.

Growing Dividend: EVN's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.


Dividend Yield vs Market

Evolution Mining Dividend Yield vs Market
How does EVN dividend yield compare to the market?
SegmentDividend Yield
Company (EVN)3.1%
Market Bottom 25% (AU)2.8%
Market Top 25% (AU)6.7%
Industry Average (Metals and Mining)3.2%
Analyst forecast (EVN) (up to 3 years)4.0%

Notable Dividend: EVN's dividend (3.07%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the Australian market (2.78%).

High Dividend: EVN's dividend (3.07%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Australian market (6.67%).


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: With its reasonably low payout ratio (49.9%), EVN's dividend payments are well covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: With its reasonable cash payout ratio (69.7%), EVN's dividend payments are covered by cash flows.


Discover strong dividend paying companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/09 22:10
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/08 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Evolution Mining Limited is covered by 33 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Dale KoendersBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Daniel MorganBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Mollie UrquhartBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited