29Metals (ASX:29M) Is Up 19.1 Percent After Returning to Profitability in Half-Year Results

Simply Wall St
  • On August 25, 2025, 29Metals Limited announced its financial results for the half year ended June 30, reporting sales of A$270.99 million and net income of A$35.32 million, compared to sales of A$243.03 million and a net loss of A$109.19 million in the prior year period.
  • This earnings report marks a significant shift, with the company returning to profitability and showing improved performance from ongoing operations over the past twelve months.
  • With 29Metals delivering its first half-year profit in several years, we'll explore what this improved performance means for its future prospects.

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29Metals Investment Narrative Recap

To see significance in 29Metals shares, investors need confidence that new operational momentum, primarily the return to profit and higher sales, can be sustained as key growth projects ramp up. While the latest half-year profit signals a business in recovery, the most important short-term catalyst remains the successful restart of Capricorn Copper, which still hinges on regulatory approvals. The biggest risk is ongoing regulatory and environmental hurdles that threaten to delay production increases; this earnings boost does not materially change that near-term challenge.

Of the recent company announcements, the progress update on Capricorn Copper’s phased recovery is especially relevant. The site's restart is critical to unlocking the production growth underlying positive outlooks, but until regulatory and water management issues are resolved, the catalyst cannot fully play out. Investors watching for inflection points should monitor any updates around Capricorn Copper and related approvals, as these will significantly impact the company's ability to maintain profitability.

By contrast, there are persistent water management hurdles and regulatory approvals at Capricorn Copper that investors should keep in mind as...

Read the full narrative on 29Metals (it's free!)

29Metals' outlook anticipates A$757.5 million in revenue and A$42.6 million in earnings by 2028. This projection is based on a 9.4% annual revenue growth rate and reflects a A$75.7 million improvement in earnings from the current A$-33.1 million.

Uncover how 29Metals' forecasts yield a A$0.282 fair value, a 30% downside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

ASX:29M Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025

Simply Wall St Community members provided five separate fair value estimates for 29Metals, ranging from as low as A$0.28 to as high as A$4.22 per share. This diversity collides with ongoing regulatory and environmental approval risks, showing how opinions diverge sharply on the path to production ramp up and future earnings.

Explore 5 other fair value estimates on 29Metals - why the stock might be worth over 10x more than the current price!

Build Your Own 29Metals Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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