29Metals Valuation

Is 29M undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 29M when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 29M (A$0.44) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$0.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 29M is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 29M?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

29M key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-2.8x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 29M's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 29M vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.7x
OMH OM Holdings
0.4x9.7%AU$355.4m
AMI Aurelia Metals
1x1.9%AU$321.1m
MLX Metals X
2.8xn/aAU$425.9m
SYA Sayona Mining
2.8x32.9%AU$350.0m
29M 29Metals
0.7x13.8%AU$308.7m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 29M is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the peer average (1.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 29M's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 29M is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (86.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 29M's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

29M PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.7x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 29M is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 29M forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.44
AU$0.42
-3.5%
24.4%AU$0.55AU$0.26n/a9
Apr ’25AU$0.38
AU$0.43
+13.8%
28.8%AU$0.60AU$0.25n/a9
Mar ’25AU$0.35
AU$0.46
+29.0%
36.2%AU$0.71AU$0.20n/a10
Feb ’25AU$0.29
AU$0.59
+102.9%
24.4%AU$0.79AU$0.35n/a10
Jan ’25AU$0.65
AU$0.71
+10.1%
13.6%AU$0.84AU$0.55n/a11
Dec ’24AU$0.48
AU$0.72
+48.3%
14.5%AU$0.86AU$0.55n/a11
Nov ’24AU$0.59
AU$0.76
+27.7%
12.2%AU$0.90AU$0.57n/a11
Oct ’24AU$0.69
AU$0.75
+8.6%
10.7%AU$0.86AU$0.61n/a10
Sep ’24AU$0.83
AU$0.76
-8.8%
9.9%AU$0.86AU$0.60n/a11
Aug ’24AU$0.81
AU$0.79
-1.9%
9.2%AU$0.90AU$0.69n/a11
Jul ’24AU$0.84
AU$0.94
+11.8%
20.6%AU$1.39AU$0.66n/a10
Jun ’24AU$0.67
AU$1.04
+55.6%
18.4%AU$1.43AU$0.68n/a10
May ’24AU$1.16
AU$1.23
+6.2%
23.6%AU$1.99AU$0.76n/a11
Apr ’24AU$1.19
AU$1.29
+8.7%
22.8%AU$1.96AU$0.80AU$0.3811
Mar ’24AU$1.65
AU$1.81
+10.0%
31.3%AU$3.21AU$1.01AU$0.3511
Feb ’24AU$2.00
AU$1.87
-6.6%
28.8%AU$3.04AU$1.00AU$0.2911
Jan ’24AU$1.91
AU$1.98
+3.6%
29.2%AU$3.21AU$1.09AU$0.6511
Dec ’23AU$2.50
AU$2.33
-6.6%
20.9%AU$3.25AU$1.60AU$0.4811
Nov ’23AU$1.93
AU$2.17
+12.5%
23.1%AU$3.33AU$1.55AU$0.5910
Oct ’23AU$2.27
AU$2.28
+0.4%
21.3%AU$3.33AU$1.43AU$0.6910
Sep ’23AU$1.92
AU$2.15
+12.0%
22.8%AU$3.18AU$1.42AU$0.8310
Aug ’23AU$1.61
AU$1.93
+20.5%
26.7%AU$2.99AU$1.15AU$0.819
Jul ’23AU$1.68
AU$3.04
+80.7%
12.8%AU$3.53AU$2.16AU$0.849
Jun ’23AU$2.54
AU$3.09
+21.5%
13.5%AU$3.50AU$2.12AU$0.678
May ’23AU$2.71
AU$3.13
+15.4%
14.1%AU$3.63AU$2.10AU$1.168
Apr ’23AU$2.86
AU$3.05
+6.6%
16.0%AU$3.56AU$2.00AU$1.198

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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