Stock Analysis

Insufficient Growth At Insurance Australia Group Limited (ASX:IAG) Hampers Share Price

ASX:IAG
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Insurance Australia Group Limited's (ASX:IAG) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.2x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 18x and even P/E's above 31x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Insurance Australia Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Insurance Australia Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:IAG Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 13th 2025
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Insurance Australia Group.
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Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Insurance Australia Group's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 75%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 518% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eleven analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 2.4% per annum over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 15% growth per year, that's a disappointing outcome.

In light of this, it's understandable that Insurance Australia Group's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On Insurance Australia Group's P/E

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Insurance Australia Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Having said that, be aware Insurance Australia Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is potentially serious.

If you're unsure about the strength of Insurance Australia Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:IAG

Insurance Australia Group

Insurance Australia Group Limited underwrites general insurance products and provides investment management services in Australia and New Zealand.

Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.

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