Stock Analysis

We're Hopeful That Renascor Resources (ASX:RNU) Will Use Its Cash Wisely

ASX:RNU
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Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, Renascor Resources (ASX:RNU) shareholders have done very well over the last year, with the share price soaring by 164%. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

In light of its strong share price run, we think now is a good time to investigate how risky Renascor Resources' cash burn is. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

Check out our latest analysis for Renascor Resources

How Long Is Renascor Resources' Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. In December 2021, Renascor Resources had AU$15m in cash, and was debt-free. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through AU$3.8m. So it had a cash runway of about 4.0 years from December 2021. There's no doubt that this is a reassuringly long runway. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:RNU Debt to Equity History July 22nd 2022

How Is Renascor Resources' Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Renascor Resources didn't record any revenue over the last year, indicating that it's an early stage company still developing its business. Nonetheless, we can still examine its cash burn trajectory as part of our assessment of its cash burn situation. The skyrocketing cash burn up 166% year on year certainly tests our nerves. With spending growing that quickly, shareholders will be hoping that the money is prudently spent. Renascor Resources makes us a little nervous due to its lack of substantial operating revenue. So we'd generally prefer stocks from this list of stocks that have analysts forecasting growth.

Can Renascor Resources Raise More Cash Easily?

Given its cash burn trajectory, Renascor Resources shareholders may wish to consider how easily it could raise more cash, despite its solid cash runway. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

Since it has a market capitalisation of AU$399m, Renascor Resources' AU$3.8m in cash burn equates to about 1.0% of its market value. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.

How Risky Is Renascor Resources' Cash Burn Situation?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Renascor Resources' cash burn. For example, we think its cash runway suggests that the company is on a good path. Although we do find its increasing cash burn to be a bit of a negative, once we consider the other metrics mentioned in this article together, the overall picture is one we are comfortable with. Looking at all the measures in this article, together, we're not worried about its rate of cash burn; the company seems well on top of its medium-term spending needs. On another note, Renascor Resources has 3 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

Of course Renascor Resources may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:RNU

Renascor Resources

Engages in the exploration, development, and evaluation of mineral properties in Australia.

Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.

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