Stock Analysis

Elixir Energy (ASX:EXR) spikes 15% this week, taking five-year gains to 192%

The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. For example, the Elixir Energy Limited (ASX:EXR) share price has soared 192% in the last half decade. Most would be very happy with that. On top of that, the share price is up 48% in about a quarter. This could be related to the recent financial results, released recently - you can catch up on the most recent data by reading our company report.

Since it's been a strong week for Elixir Energy shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

View our latest analysis for Elixir Energy

We don't think Elixir Energy's revenue of AU$1,671,820 is enough to establish significant demand. So it seems shareholders are too busy dreaming about the progress to come than dwelling on the current (lack of) revenue. It seems likely some shareholders believe that Elixir Energy will discover or develop fossil fuel before too long.

Companies that lack both meaningful revenue and profits are usually considered high risk. We can see that they needed to raise more capital, and took that step recently despite the fact that it would have been dilutive to current holders. While some companies like this go on to deliver on their plan, making good money for shareholders, many end in painful losses and eventual de-listing. Of course, if you time it right, high risk investments like this can really pay off, as Elixir Energy investors might know.

Our data indicates that Elixir Energy had more in total liabilities than it had cash, when it last reported. That put it in the highest risk category, according to our analysis. So the fact that the stock is up 75% per year, over 5 years shows that the cash injection was a welcome one. Investors must really like its potential. You can click on the image below to see (in greater detail) how Elixir Energy's cash levels have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:EXR Debt to Equity History September 11th 2024

It can be extremely risky to invest in a company that doesn't even have revenue. There's no way to know its value easily. One thing you can do is check if company insiders are buying shares. If they are buying a significant amount of shares, that's certainly a good thing. You can click here to see if there are insiders buying.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Elixir Energy has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 158% in the last twelve months. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 24%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Elixir Energy (including 1 which is concerning) .

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Australian exchanges.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Elixir Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:EXR

Elixir Energy

Operates as a gas exploration and development company in Australia, Mongolia, and the United States.

Flawless balance sheet with slight risk.

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