Stock Analysis

Is Undervaluation and Profit Growth Potential Altering the Investment Case for Reece (ASX:REH)?

  • Recent analysis highlights Reece Limited is trading below its intrinsic value, with profit projected to grow by 23% in coming years.
  • This combination of perceived undervaluation and strong profit outlook has drawn heightened investor interest in the company.
  • We'll explore how signs of undervaluation and a robust profit growth forecast could influence Reece's investment narrative going forward.

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Reece Investment Narrative Recap

To be a Reece Limited shareholder, you need to be confident in the company's ability to recover margins and return to profit growth, particularly as it leverages ongoing investments in digital initiatives and U.S. expansion. The recent news of Reece trading below intrinsic value with a projected 23% profit growth is significant, but it does not override the immediate risk from continued softness in the core end markets, especially given lingering challenges in residential construction and related volume pressures. Among recent announcements, the share buyback program for up to A$400 million stands out as particularly relevant; it may provide some near-term support to the share price and signals confidence from the Board, but it does not directly address the headwinds facing earnings or market demand. However, investors should also be aware that near-term optimism is tempered by the reality of persistent revenue headwinds if core segments remain weak and...

Read the full narrative on Reece (it's free!)

Reece's narrative projects A$9.8 billion revenue and A$389.1 million earnings by 2028. This requires 3.1% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of A$72.2 million from the current earnings of A$316.9 million.

Uncover how Reece's forecasts yield a A$11.82 fair value, a 4% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

ASX:REH Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
ASX:REH Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Fair value estimates from 5 Simply Wall St Community members span from A$11.82 to A$25.00 per share. These varied views stand alongside current analyst concerns about persistent core end market softness, reminding you to explore several alternative viewpoints.

Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Reece - why the stock might be worth just A$11.82!

Build Your Own Reece Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your Reece research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free Reece research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Reece's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About ASX:REH

Reece

Engages in the distribution of plumbing, waterworks, heating, ventilation, air-conditioning, and refrigeration products to commercial and residential customers in Australia, New Zealand, and the United States.

Flawless balance sheet and fair value.

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