PayPal is treated like a business in decline, but the case here is that it only needs to stop slipping for sentiment to improve—and its heavy share buybacks could amplify that recovery if the core stays steady. The bigger question is whether PayPal’s cross‑platform person‑to‑person payments and new AI-driven ways to pay become tailwinds, or whether rising competition and shrinking profit per transaction keep the slide going.Read more
PayPal’s core checkout business faces tough competition and shrinking profit per transaction, but the market already seems to expect the worst. The upside comes if a new management push and tighter spending start to turn the story around, while the author argues there’s a way to limit how much you can lose if it doesn’t.Read more
PayPal at it's surface might not seem like fanciest option available; but as you take a deeper dive into the company it has a lot more to offer than just the app we use for transactions and sending money to others. Most of their revenue comes from transactions while they also source some revenue from other added value services like: Payment Gateway Subscriptions Interest and fees from consumer loans and merchant loans Other credit products referrals partnerships One other source that recently has begun to catch traction for them is Venmo; which is quite similar to the normal services of PayPal but has been very popular with younger populations.Read more
️ Business Overview Key Metrics Total: 2/17 +1 ✅ Projected Operating Margin: 17.71% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Revenue CAGR: 5.47% +1 ✅ Last 5-Year ROIC: 12.00% +1 ✅ Estimated Cost of Capital: 5.95% (lower than ROIC) +1 ✅ Last 5-Year Shares Outstanding CAGR: -6.23% -1 ❌ Projected 5-Year EPS CAGR: 7.83% (given the easiness that companies can "manipulate" these values, below 10% represents still a negative) +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Dividend CAGR: N/A +1 ✅ Moody's Rating: A3 -1 ❌ Morningstar Moat: Narrow -1 ❌ Morningstar Uncertainty: High Paypal shows that it still has some competitive advantages given its solid operating margin despite the Narrow Moat rating. The fact that it also presents a solid ROIC more than double its cost of capital , shows that it can still allocate and invest its capital efficiently.Read more
PayPal’s growth engine still runs on everyday habits like checkout and Venmo, and recent product changes aim to make paying smoother and more frequent. The bigger question is whether it can defend its spot as Apple, Google, and newer fintech apps crowd the same wallet space—while the market still treats it like its best days are behind it.Read more
December 28, 2025 For precisely 48 hours in mid-December 2025, it looked like the "Alex Chriss Turnaround" at PayPal was about to shift into overdrive. On December 15, the payments giant finally pulled the trigger on a strategy investors had whispered about for years: it filed to become a bank.Read more
PayPal aims to turn the ongoing shift to online shopping into steadier growth, helped by its well-known checkout button and Venmo’s push into more everyday purchases. The big question is whether it can keep its edge as tech giants and newer payment options crowd in, while a legal fight tied to Honey tests trust in the brand.Read more
PayPal keeps generating plenty of cash, uses it to buy back its own stock, and says it’s cutting out low‑value work to focus on what can grow. With partnerships and better fraud protection becoming more important as AI spreads—and cheaper borrowing helping fintech—there’s also a real downside to watch in how much it pays staff in stock.Read more
PayPal faces a crowded payments market where rivals and big tech can keep cutting fees, leaving it with less profit on every transaction even if more people use digital payments. With newer parts of the business like Braintree and Venmo taking a bigger role—and leadership in transition—the big question is whether PayPal can protect its earnings or gets squeezed for years.Read more
PayPal Holdings, Inc. operates a technology platform that enables digital payments for merchants and consumers worldwide. The company operates a two-sided network at scale that connects merchants and consumers that enables its customers to connect, transact, and send and receive payments through online and in person, as well as transfer and withdraw funds using various funding sources, such as bank accounts, PayPal or Venmo account balance, consumer credit and debit products, credit and debit cards, and cryptocurrencies, as well as other stored value products, including gift cards and eligible rewards. It provides payment solutions under the PayPal, PayPal Credit, Braintree, Venmo, Xoom, Hyperwallet, Honey, and Paidy names. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
