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Diversified Financials U.S. Community
Our community narratives are driven by numbers and valuation.
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Diversified Financials U.S. Investing Ideas
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PayPal Holdings
ZW
Zwfis
Community Contributor
PayPal's Future Growth Through Venmo and Merchant Solutions
PayPal at it's surface might not seem like fanciest option available; but as you take a deeper dive into the company it has a lot more to offer than just the app we use for transactions and sending money to others. Most of their revenue comes from transactions while they also source some revenue from other added value services like: Payment Gateway Subscriptions Interest and fees from consumer loans and merchant loans Other credit products referrals partnerships One other source that recently has begun to catch traction for them is Venmo; which is quite similar to the normal services of PayPal but has been very popular with younger populations.
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US$105.25
FV
36.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
7.22%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
24
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
50
users have followed this narrative
16 days ago
author updated this narrative
Rocket Companies
NA
nader
Community Contributor
Acquisitions Will Improve Efficiency and Add Immediate Value
Recent Mr. Cooper and Redfin acquisitions prop up the company to become a mortgage conglomerate. Users will be able to one-stop-shop for homes and mortgages through the Redfin or Rocket Mortgage apps.
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US$80
FV
74.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
23.61%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
17 days ago
author updated this narrative
Cboe Global Markets
IS
iStock
Community Contributor
Cboe Global Markets will thrive with a future PE of 28.91x leading to growth
Metrics Used in Calculation For CBOE Global Markets, I employed two-stage models for both DCF and DDM analysis given the company's established market position with potential for different growth phases: 1. Two-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Model Phase 1 (Years 1-10) : 8% free cash flow growth reflecting CBOE's strong market position and expanding derivatives business Phase 2 (Perpetual) : 3% growth rate aligned with long-term economic growth expectations Projects free cash flows over 10 years plus terminal value using perpetual growth model 2.
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US$201.42
FV
16.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.18%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
about 1 month ago
author updated this narrative
iShares Trust - iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
NO
North49_
Community Contributor
Anticipating Steady Growth for iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
The investment seeks to track the investment results of the Dow Jones U.S. Select Aerospace & Defense Index composed of U.S. equities in the aerospace and defense sector. The index measures the performance of the aerospace and defense sector of the U.S. equity market, as defined by SPDJI.
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US$248.79
FV
18.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
0%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
about 2 months ago
author updated this narrative
DLocal
WY
WynnLevi
Community Contributor
DLocal's Future Growth Fueled by 35% Revenue and Profit Margin Boosts
1. Continuous Product and Service Expansion DLocal emphasizes continuous investment in developing new products and services.
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US$195.39
FV
92.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
35.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
27
users have followed this narrative
3 months ago
author updated this narrative
Global Payments
MA
Maxell
Community Contributor
Global Payments will reach new heights with a 34% upside potential
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 12-Month Price Target: $142 Current Price: $105.71 Implied Upside: 34.3% Rating: STRONG BUY Risk Assessment: MODERATE INVESTMENT THESIS Global Payments (GPN) presents a compelling investment opportunity at current levels, with three key catalysts driving potential outperformance in 2025: Q4 2024 momentum in Merchant Solutions with strong POS adoption (added ~3,000 new locations) Strategic sale of AdvancedMD for $1.125 billion at attractive multiple with $700M earmarked for shareholder returns Successful integration of EVO Payments enhancing B2B capabilities and geographic reach VALUATION METHODOLOGY Our $142 price target reflects: Forward P/E multiple of 13x (below historical average, reflecting current market dynamics) applied to our 2025 EPS estimate of $10.92 EV/EBITDA multiple of 11x on projected 2025 EBITDA, reflecting recent sector compression DCF analysis using 9.5% WACC (adjusted for higher rate environment) and 3% terminal growth KEY GROWTH DRIVERS Recent Performance Highlights Q3 2024 adjusted net revenue increased 6% to $2.36 billion Adjusted operating margin expanded 40 basis points to 46.1% Added 92 new software partners in Q3, up 60% year-over-year Macro Environment U.S. GDP growth projected at 2.4% for 2025, supporting payment volumes Fed funds rate expected to decrease to 3.88%, reducing funding costs Resilient high-income consumer spending evidenced by recent holiday data RISK FACTORS Near-term margin pressure from technology investments and compensation costs Integration execution risk from recent acquisitions Increasing competition in digital payments space Potential policy changes under new administration FINANCIAL METRICS Key Financial Metrics for Q4 2024E: Revenue Growth: 5-6% Operating Margin: 46.1% EPS Growth: 11-12% Free Cash Flow Conversion: 92% Projected Metrics for 2025E: Revenue Growth: 8-9% Operating Margin: 46.6% EPS Growth: 13-14% Free Cash Flow Conversion: 93% STRATEGIC POSITIONING Recent developments reinforce GPN's leadership in: Integrated payments with strong new partner acquisition B2B payments expansion through EVO integration Software-driven solutions with continued innovation International market penetration RECOMMENDATION RATIONALE Our STRONG BUY recommendation at current price of $105.71 is based on: Current valuation represents significant discount to intrinsic value Strong Q3 2024 execution with improving operating leverage Strategic initiatives creating clearer growth path Robust free cash flow generation supporting shareholder returns
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US$142
FV
40.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
13.04%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
22
users have followed this narrative
8 months ago
author updated this narrative
PayPal Holdings
ST
StjepanK
Equity Analyst and Writer
PayPal’s Strong Branding Can Take Advantage Of E-Commerce Tailwind
Key Takeaways PayPal is the online payments household brand benefiting from the positive trend in the E-commerce industry. Venmo’s sub-brand is a growth driver, which could reach over $2 billion in annual revenue by 2027.
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US$111.57
FV
40.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
5.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
104
users have liked this narrative
7
users have commented on this narrative
31
users have followed this narrative
6 months ago
author updated this narrative
Berkshire Hathaway
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
The Berkshire Success Recipe: Concentrated Portfolio With Diversified Operations
Berkshire has managed to find a balance between a diversified business and an alpha-rich portfolio. The company’s efficiency is reflected in its low risk, which also limits growth.
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US$604.2k
FV
21.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.60%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
30
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
Mastercard
CO
codepoet
Community Contributor
A fortress-like financial tech company riding global digital payments and fintech innovation waves
1. Global Payments Backbone with Scale & Reach Mastercard’s network processes over $8 trillion in annual purchase volume , powered by relationships with banks, merchants, businesses, and governments in more than 200 countries.
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US$500
FV
17.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.13%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
8
users have followed this narrative
about 2 months ago
author updated this narrative