Hillman Solutions Corp.

NasdaqGM:HLMN Voorraadrapport

Marktkapitalisatie: US$1.4b

Hillman Solutions Toekomstige groei

Future criteriumcontroles 3/6

Hillman Solutions zal naar verwachting groeien in winst en omzet met respectievelijk 29.3% en 5.4% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting groeien met 29.2% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 8.2% zijn.

Belangrijke informatie

29.3%

Groei van de winst

29.17%

Groei van de winst per aandeel

Machinery winstgroei16.3%
Inkomstengroei5.4%
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen8.24%
Dekking van analisten

Good

Laatst bijgewerkt19 May 2026

Recente toekomstige groei-updates

Analyseartikel Aug 08

Results: Hillman Solutions Corp. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

NasdaqGM:HLMN 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Hillman Solutions's Fair Values from the Community and select...

Recent updates

Narratiefupdate May 16

HLMN: Conservative Outlook And Buybacks Will Support Upside After Recent Pullback

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Hillman Solutions by about $1 to $14, reflecting slightly lower revenue and EBITDA expectations after mixed Q4 results and a guidance reset that many still view as conservative. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have been trimming their price targets on Hillman Solutions, reflecting a more cautious stance after the latest Q4 results and updated guidance.
Narratiefupdate Apr 26

HLMN: Conservative Guidance And Pullback Will Support 2026 Earnings Rebound Potential

Analysts have trimmed their 12 month price target on Hillman Solutions to $14, a $1 reduction from prior views, citing slightly lower revenue and EBITDA expectations following mixed Q4 results and guidance they describe as conservative. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are trimming targets but still see upside potential in Hillman Solutions, even after the stock moved off more than 10% following Q4 results and updated guidance.
Narratiefupdate Apr 12

HLMN: Conservative Guidance And Pullback Will Support Future Earnings Rebound Potential

Hillman Solutions' consensus analyst price target has eased to $14, as analysts factor in slightly lower revenue and EBITDA expectations alongside what they describe as solid Q4 results and conservative guidance. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are trimming price targets slightly to US$14 while maintaining a positive stance on Hillman Solutions, pointing to what they see as solid Q4 execution and guidance that they view as conservative rather than negative.
Seeking Alpha Mar 31

Hillman Solutions: Market Share Gains And Pricing Power To Navigate Uncertainty

Summary Hillman Solutions Corp. earns a Buy rating, trading at a 25% discount to peers, with strong supply chain diversification and market share initiatives. HLMN is reducing Chinese supplier exposure from 49% to a targeted 20%, enhancing supply chain resilience and earnings visibility. FY2026 revenue guidance is $1.6–$1.7 billion, driven by new business wins and pricing, though market volume remains a headwind. Margins are expected to normalize in FY2026 as higher input costs offset prior price/cost spread benefits; adjusted gross margin is guided to 46–47%. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narratiefupdate Mar 28

HLMN: Conservative Guidance Reset Will Support Future Upside From Recent Pullback

Analysts have trimmed their blended price target for Hillman Solutions by about $1 to $14, reflecting slightly lower Street expectations for revenue and EBITDA after recent Q4 results and a guidance update that is being characterized as conservative. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have been trimming price targets for Hillman Solutions, bringing them closer to the current fundamental outlook after Q4 results and updated guidance.
Narratiefupdate Mar 12

HLMN: Conservative Guidance And Pullback Will Support Measured Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Hillman Solutions to $14 from $15, citing slightly lower consensus revenue and EBITDA forecasts and a cautious outlook despite recent Q4 results that they describe as solid to mixed. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have trimmed their price targets on Hillman Solutions to US$14 from US$15, framing the stock’s recent pullback of more than 10% as a reaction to modestly lower consensus revenue and EBITDA estimates and an outlook they describe as conservative.
Narratiefupdate Feb 26

HLMN: Conservative Guidance And Pullback Will Set Up Earnings Rebound Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Hillman Solutions to $14 from $15, citing slightly lower consensus revenue and EBITDA estimates, along with what they view as conservative guidance following mixed but solid Q4 results. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are generally framing the post earnings pullback as a reaction to cautious guidance and small adjustments to estimates, rather than a shift in their longer term view on Hillman Solutions.
Analyseartikel Feb 16

Market Participants Recognise Hillman Solutions Corp.'s (NASDAQ:HLMN) Earnings

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 19x, you may...
Narratiefupdate Feb 11

HLMN: Steady Outlook And Refined Assumptions Will Support Measured Future Returns

Analysts have slightly adjusted their fair value view on Hillman Solutions to $10.00, reflecting modest tweaks to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin assumptions and a future P/E of about 27.5x that together support a largely unchanged price target rationale. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Modelled fair value remains unchanged at $10.00 per share.
Narratiefupdate Jan 27

HLMN: Steady Outlook And Buybacks Will Support Measured Future Returns

Analysts have raised their price target for Hillman Solutions slightly, to US$10.00 from US$10.00. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that are broadly consistent with prior views.
Narratiefupdate Jan 11

HLMN: Stable Sales Outlook And Margin Gains Will Support Measured Returns

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target on Hillman Solutions, making a small adjustment to account for somewhat softer revenue growth expectations and a marginally lower future P/E multiple, partially offset by modestly higher projected profit margins. What's in the News Hillman Solutions reiterated its full year 2025 net sales guidance at US$1.535b to US$1.575b, matching its prior range and providing a clear reference point for management's current expectations (Key Developments).
Narratiefupdate Dec 14

HLMN: Revenue Outlook And Margins Will Support Measured Future Share Performance

Analysts have nudged their price target on Hillman Solutions modestly higher to reflect slightly faster expected revenue growth, improved profit margin assumptions, and a lower projected future P/E multiple, leaving their estimate of fair value at approximately $10.00 per share. What's in the News Company reiterated its 2025 full year net sales guidance, maintaining the expected range at $1.535 billion to $1.575 billion, reflecting its stated confidence in its current growth outlook (Key Developments) Hillman completed a share repurchase tranche between July 31, 2025 and September 27, 2025, buying back 325,584 shares, or about 0.16% of shares outstanding, for $3.16 million under its August 5, 2025 buyback authorization (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Fair Value: Unchanged at approximately $10.00 per share, indicating no revision to the analyst estimate of intrinsic value.
Analyseartikel Nov 26

Should You Think About Buying Hillman Solutions Corp. (NASDAQ:HLMN) Now?

Hillman Solutions Corp. ( NASDAQ:HLMN ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement...
Analyseartikel Oct 09

We Think Hillman Solutions (NASDAQ:HLMN) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Analyseartikel Sep 13

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Hillman Solutions (NASDAQ:HLMN) Passed With Ease

The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...
Analyseartikel Aug 28

Are Investors Undervaluing Hillman Solutions Corp. (NASDAQ:HLMN) By 33%?

Key Insights Hillman Solutions' estimated fair value is US$14.94 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Hillman...
Analyseartikel Aug 08

Results: Hillman Solutions Corp. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

NasdaqGM:HLMN 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Hillman Solutions's Fair Values from the Community and select...
Narratiefupdate Aug 07

US Housing And Omni Retail Expansion Will Foster Value

With both Net Profit Margin and Discount Rate remaining stable, analysts see no change in Hillman Solutions’ fair value, maintaining the consensus price target at $10.56. What's in the News Hillman Solutions raised full-year 2025 net sales guidance to $1.535–$1.575 billion from previous $1.495–$1.575 billion range.
Analyseartikel Aug 02

Hillman Solutions Corp.'s (NASDAQ:HLMN) Shares Not Telling The Full Story

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x Hillman Solutions Corp. ( NASDAQ:HLMN ) is a stock...
Analyseartikel Jun 27

At US$7.07, Is Hillman Solutions Corp. (NASDAQ:HLMN) Worth Looking At Closely?

Hillman Solutions Corp. ( NASDAQ:HLMN ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement...
Analyseartikel Apr 30

Take Care Before Diving Into The Deep End On Hillman Solutions Corp. (NASDAQ:HLMN)

Hillman Solutions Corp.'s ( NASDAQ:HLMN ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x might make it look like a buy right...
Analyseartikel Mar 29

Here's Why Hillman Solutions (NASDAQ:HLMN) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analyseartikel Jan 13

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Hillman Solutions Corp.'s (NASDAQ:HLMN) P/S

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.6x in the Machinery industry in the United States, you...
Analyseartikel Dec 09

Hillman Solutions (NASDAQ:HLMN) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...
Analyseartikel Sep 18

Hillman Solutions Corp. (NASDAQ:HLMN) Not Flying Under The Radar

There wouldn't be many who think Hillman Solutions Corp.'s ( NASDAQ:HLMN ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x is...
User avatar
Nieuw narratief Sep 12

Cost Controls And Decisive Acquisitions Set To Fuel Robust Earnings Growth

Hillman Solutions' focus on cost control and margin management is set to enhance bottom-line performance and adjusted EBITDA outlook.
Analyseartikel Aug 14

Shareholders Can Be Confident That Hillman Solutions' (NASDAQ:HLMN) Earnings Are High Quality

The subdued stock price reaction suggests that Hillman Solutions Corp.'s ( NASDAQ:HLMN ) strong earnings didn't offer...
Analyseartikel Jun 20

Revenues Tell The Story For Hillman Solutions Corp. (NASDAQ:HLMN)

It's not a stretch to say that Hillman Solutions Corp.'s ( NASDAQ:HLMN ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x right...
Seeking Alpha May 08

Hillman Solutions: Ready For Tuck-In Acquisitions

Summary A much-improved balance sheet has created the opportunity for the company to pursue tuck-in acquisitions that fit Hillman's wide-moat strategy. Synergistic acquisitions supplement organic growth initiatives until existing home sales recover. Hillman Solutions reported 1Q'24 results with expected flat sales and improving margins and cash flows. HLMN stock is currently undervalued despite solid execution. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analyseartikel Mar 27

Hillman Solutions Corp. (NASDAQ:HLMN) Shares Could Be 40% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Key Insights The projected fair value for Hillman Solutions is US$17.18 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...
Analyseartikel Mar 01

Investors Appear Satisfied With Hillman Solutions Corp.'s (NASDAQ:HLMN) Prospects

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.4x in the Machinery industry in the United States, you...
Seeking Alpha Feb 26

Hillman Solutions: Buoyant In A Bad Housing Market

Summary Hillman Solutions' wide competitive moat allowed it to generate strong free cash flows, improve margins, and strengthen the balance sheet in 2023. Sales were relatively flat despite weak store traffic at customers' retail stores as the company won new business to offset the declines. While 2024 may be another challenging year for the industry, HLMN is expected to increase margins and use tuck-in acquisitions to counter expected price givebacks. The company is poised to benefit greatly from the eventual recovery in existing home sales. HLMN stock is undervalued, creating a margin of safety for investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analyseartikel Jan 26

Should You Think About Buying Hillman Solutions Corp. (NASDAQ:HLMN) Now?

While Hillman Solutions Corp. ( NASDAQ:HLMN ) might not have the largest market cap around , it led the NASDAQGM...
Analyseartikel Oct 04

There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Hillman Solutions' (NASDAQ:HLMN) Returns On Capital

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Amongst other things, we'll want to...
Analyseartikel Sep 11

Hillman Solutions Corp. (NASDAQ:HLMN) Shares Could Be 45% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Key Insights The projected fair value for Hillman Solutions is US$15.75 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...
Analyseartikel Jul 29

Why Hillman Solutions Corp. (NASDAQ:HLMN) Could Be Worth Watching

While Hillman Solutions Corp. ( NASDAQ:HLMN ) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a...
Analyseartikel Jun 26

Hillman Solutions Corp.'s (NASDAQ:HLMN) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk

There wouldn't be many who think Hillman Solutions Corp.'s ( NASDAQ:HLMN ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x is...
Analyseartikel Apr 08

Hillman Solutions Corp.'s (NASDAQ:HLMN) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 93% Above Its Share Price

Key Insights Hillman Solutions' estimated fair value is US$15.17 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Hillman...
Analyseartikel Feb 22

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Hillman Solutions (NASDAQ:HLMN)

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? In a...

Winst- en omzetgroeiprognoses

NasdaqGM:HLMN - Toekomstschattingen van analisten en financiële gegevens uit het verleden (USD Millions )
DatumInkomstenInkomstenVrije kasstroomGeldmiddelen uit operationele activiteitenGem. Aantal analisten
12/31/20281,841981632324
12/31/20271,745721382007
12/31/20261,658441091817
3/28/20261,563362286N/A
12/27/20251,5524035105N/A
9/27/20251,5373741117N/A
6/28/20251,5052272155N/A
3/29/20251,4821883171N/A
12/28/20241,4731798183N/A
9/28/20241,4718129207N/A
6/29/20241,4766131199N/A
3/30/20241,477-2153218N/A
12/30/20231,476-10172238N/A
9/30/20231,479-13152227N/A
7/1/20231,459-28142219N/A
4/1/20231,473-2479154N/A
12/31/20221,486-1649119N/A
9/24/20221,4804-358N/A
6/25/20221,466-19-93-36N/A
3/26/20221,448-31-123-68N/A
12/25/20211,426-38-162-110N/A
9/25/20211,409-59-134-81N/A
6/26/20211,443-17-2521N/A
3/27/20211,414-192564N/A
12/26/20201,368-244792N/A
9/26/20201,326-273985N/A
12/28/20191,214-85N/A52N/A
12/29/2018974-59N/A8N/A
12/30/201783859N/A83N/A

Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten

Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De verwachte winstgroei HLMN ( 29.3% per jaar) ligt boven de spaarquote ( 3.5% ).

Winst versus markt: De winst van HLMN ( 29.3% per jaar) zal naar verwachting sneller groeien dan de US markt ( 16.8% per jaar).

Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van HLMN zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar aanzienlijk groeien.

Omzet versus markt: De omzet van HLMN ( 5.4% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 11.6% per jaar).

Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van HLMN ( 5.4% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.


Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel


Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen

Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen HLMN zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar laag zijn ( 8.2 %).


Ontdek groeibedrijven

Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens

GegevensLaatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd)
Bedrijfsanalyse2026/05/20 02:43
Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag2026/05/20 00:00
Inkomsten2026/03/28
Jaarlijkse inkomsten2025/12/27

Gegevensbronnen

De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.

PakketGegevensTijdframeVoorbeeld Amerikaanse bron *
Financiële gegevens bedrijf10 jaar
  • Resultatenrekening
  • Kasstroomoverzicht
  • Balans
Consensus schattingen analisten+3 jaar
  • Financiële prognoses
  • Koersdoelen analisten
Marktprijzen30 jaar
  • Aandelenprijzen
  • Dividenden, splitsingen en acties
Eigendom10 jaar
  • Top aandeelhouders
  • Handel met voorkennis
Beheer10 jaar
  • Leiderschapsteam
  • Raad van bestuur
Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen10 jaar
  • Bedrijfsaankondigingen

* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.

Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.

Analysemodel en Snowflake

Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.

Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.

Industrie en sector

Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.

Bronnen van analisten

Hillman Solutions Corp. wordt gevolgd door 10 analisten. 7 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.

AnalistInstelling
David MantheyBaird
Matthew BouleyBarclays
Reuben GarnerBenchmark Company