Stock Analysis

Take Care Before Diving Into The Deep End On Hillman Solutions Corp. (NASDAQ:HLMN)

NasdaqGM:HLMN
Source: Shutterstock

Hillman Solutions Corp.'s (NASDAQ:HLMN) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Machinery industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.5x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Hillman Solutions

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:HLMN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 30th 2025

What Does Hillman Solutions' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been pleasing for Hillman Solutions as its revenue has risen in spite of the industry's average revenue going into reverse. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think the company's revenue is going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Hillman Solutions' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Hillman Solutions would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Likewise, not much has changed from three years ago as revenue have been stuck during that whole time. So it seems apparent to us that the company has struggled to grow revenue meaningfully over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 5.0% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be similar to the 3.5% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Hillman Solutions' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What Does Hillman Solutions' P/S Mean For Investors?

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've seen that Hillman Solutions currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecast growth is in line with the wider industry. The low P/S could be an indication that the revenue growth estimates are being questioned by the market. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Hillman Solutions you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

If you're looking to trade Hillman Solutions, open an account with the lowest-cost platform trusted by professionals, Interactive Brokers.

With clients in over 200 countries and territories, and access to 160 markets, IBKR lets you trade stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds and funds from a single integrated account.

Enjoy no hidden fees, no account minimums, and FX conversion rates as low as 0.03%, far better than what most brokers offer.

Sponsored Content

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hillman Solutions might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGM:HLMN

Hillman Solutions

Provides hardware-related products and related merchandising services in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Latin America, and the Caribbean.

Moderate growth potential with acceptable track record.