Stock Analysis

Tinplate Company Of India (NSE:TINPLATE) Is Growing Earnings But Are They A Good Guide?

NSEI:TINPLATE
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Statistically speaking, it is less risky to invest in profitable companies than in unprofitable ones. Having said that, sometimes statutory profit levels are not a good guide to ongoing profitability, because some short term one-off factor has impacted profit levels. Today we'll focus on whether this year's statutory profits are a good guide to understanding Tinplate Company Of India (NSE:TINPLATE).

It's good to see that over the last twelve months Tinplate Company Of India made a profit of ₹950.3m on revenue of ₹21.1b. In the chart below, you can see that its profit and revenue have both grown over the last three years, although its revenue has slipped in the last twelve months.

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NSEI:TINPLATE Earnings and Revenue History July 6th 2020
NSEI:TINPLATE Earnings and Revenue History July 6th 2020

Of course, when it comes to statutory profit, the devil is often in the detail, and we can get a better sense for a company by diving deeper into the financial statements. Today, we'll look at how the recent spike in non-operating revenue has impacted Tinplate Company Of India's most recent results. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Tinplate Company Of India.

Operating Revenue Or Not?

At most companies, some revenue streams, such as government grants, are accounted for as non-operating revenue, while the core business is said to produce operating revenue. Oftentimes, non-operating revenue spikes are not repeated, so it makes sense to be cautious where non-operating revenue has made a very large contribution to total profit. However, we note that when non-operating revenue increases suddenly, it will sometimes generate an unsustainable boost to profit. It's worth noting that Tinplate Company Of India saw a big increase in non-operating revenue over the last year. In fact, our data indicates that non-operating revenue increased from ₹25.9b to ₹21.1b. If that non-operating revenue fails to manifest in the current year, then there's a real risk the bottom line profit result will be impacted negatively. Sometimes, you can get a better idea of the underlying earnings potential of a company by excluding unusual boosts to non-operating revenue.

Our Take On Tinplate Company Of India's Profit Performance

Since Tinplate Company Of India saw a big increase in its non-operating revenue over the last twelve months, we'd be very cautious about relying too heavily on the statutory profit number, which would have benefitted from this potentially unsustainable change. For this reason, we think that Tinplate Company Of India's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Tinplate Company Of India you should know about.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Tinplate Company Of India's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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