Stock Analysis

One Thing To Remember About The First Defiance Financial Corp. (NASDAQ:FDEF) Share Price

NasdaqGS:PFC
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If you own shares in First Defiance Financial Corp. (NASDAQ:FDEF) then it's worth thinking about how it contributes to the volatility of your portfolio, overall. In finance, Beta is a measure of volatility. Volatility is considered to be a measure of risk in modern finance theory. Investors may think of volatility as falling into two main categories. The first type is company specific volatility. Investors use diversification across uncorrelated stocks to reduce this kind of price volatility across the portfolio. The second type is the broader market volatility, which you cannot diversify away, since it arises from macroeconomic factors which directly affects all the stocks on the market.

Some stocks are more sensitive to general market forces than others. Beta can be a useful tool to understand how much a stock is influenced by market risk (volatility). However, Warren Buffett said 'volatility is far from synonymous with risk' in his 2014 letter to investors. So, while useful, beta is not the only metric to consider. To use beta as an investor, you must first understand that the overall market has a beta of one. Any stock with a beta of greater than one is considered more volatile than the market, while those with a beta below one are either less volatile or poorly correlated with the market.

Check out our latest analysis for First Defiance Financial

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What does FDEF's beta value mean to investors?

Looking at the last five years, First Defiance Financial has a beta of 1.45. The fact that this is well above 1 indicates that its share price movements have shown sensitivity to overall market volatility. If the past is any guide, we would expect that First Defiance Financial shares will rise quicker than the markets in times of optimism, but fall faster in times of pessimism. Many would argue that beta is useful in position sizing, but fundamental metrics such as revenue and earnings are more important overall. You can see First Defiance Financial's revenue and earnings in the image below.

NasdaqGS:FDEF Income Statement April 9th 2020
NasdaqGS:FDEF Income Statement April 9th 2020

Could FDEF's size cause it to be more volatile?

First Defiance Financial is a small company, but not tiny and little known. It has a market capitalisation of US$552m, which means it would be on the radar of intstitutional investors. It is quite common to see a small-cap stock with a beta greater than one. In part, that's because relatively few investors can influence the price of a smaller company, compared to a large company.

What this means for you:

Since First Defiance Financial has a reasonably high beta, it's worth considering why it is so heavily influenced by broader market sentiment. For example, it might be a high growth stock or have a lot of operating leverage in its business model. In order to fully understand whether FDEF is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as First Defiance Financial’s financial health and performance track record. I urge you to continue your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for FDEF’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for FDEF’s outlook.
  2. Past Track Record: Has FDEF been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of FDEF's historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other Interesting Stocks: It's worth checking to see how FDEF measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

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