Stock Analysis

How Does ACI Worldwide, Inc. (NASDAQ:ACIW) Affect Your Portfolio Volatility?

If you're interested in ACI Worldwide, Inc. (NASDAQ:ACIW), then you might want to consider its beta (a measure of share price volatility) in order to understand how the stock could impact your portfolio. Volatility is considered to be a measure of risk in modern finance theory. Investors may think of volatility as falling into two main categories. The first category is company specific volatility. This can be dealt with by limiting your exposure to any particular stock. The second type is the broader market volatility, which you cannot diversify away, since it arises from macroeconomic factors which directly affects all the stocks on the market.

Some stocks mimic the volatility of the market quite closely, while others demonstrate muted, exagerrated or uncorrelated price movements. Beta can be a useful tool to understand how much a stock is influenced by market risk (volatility). However, Warren Buffett said 'volatility is far from synonymous with risk' in his 2014 letter to investors. So, while useful, beta is not the only metric to consider. To use beta as an investor, you must first understand that the overall market has a beta of one. Any stock with a beta of greater than one is considered more volatile than the market, while those with a beta below one are either less volatile or poorly correlated with the market.

See our latest analysis for ACI Worldwide

Advertisement

What we can learn from ACIW's beta value

Given that it has a beta of 1.25, we can surmise that the ACI Worldwide share price has been fairly sensitive to market volatility (over the last 5 years). If the past is any guide, we would expect that ACI Worldwide shares will rise quicker than the markets in times of optimism, but fall faster in times of pessimism. Beta is worth considering, but it's also important to consider whether ACI Worldwide is growing earnings and revenue. You can take a look for yourself, below.

NasdaqGS:ACIW Income Statement, August 11th 2019
NasdaqGS:ACIW Income Statement, August 11th 2019

How does ACIW's size impact its beta?

ACI Worldwide is a fairly large company. It has a market capitalisation of US$3.2b, which means it is probably on the radar of most investors. It has a relatively high beta, suggesting it may be somehow leveraged to macroeconomic conditions. For example, it might be a high growth stock with lots of investors trading the shares. It's notable when large companies to have high beta values, because it usually takes substantial capital flows to move their share prices.

What this means for you:

Beta only tells us that the ACI Worldwide share price is sensitive to broader market movements. This could indicate that it is a high growth company, or is heavily influenced by sentiment because it is speculative. Alternatively, it could have operating leverage in its business model. Ultimately, beta is an interesting metric, but there's plenty more to learn. In order to fully understand whether ACIW is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as ACI Worldwide’s financial health and performance track record. I urge you to continue your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for ACIW’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for ACIW’s outlook.
  2. Past Track Record: Has ACIW been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of ACIW's historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other Interesting Stocks: It's worth checking to see how ACIW measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

About NasdaqGS:ACIW

ACI Worldwide

Develops, markets, installs, and supports software products and services for facilitating electronic payments in the United States and internationally.

Very undervalued with excellent balance sheet.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

WE
WealthAP
PYPL logo
WealthAP on PayPal Holdings ·

The "Sleeping Giant" Stumbles, Then Wakes Up

Fair Value:US$8228.9% undervalued
40 users have followed this narrative
4 users have commented on this narrative
28 users have liked this narrative
WO
BMBL logo
woodworthfund on Bumble ·

Swiped Left by Wall Street: The BMBL Rebound Trade

Fair Value:US$960.9% undervalued
14 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
6 users have liked this narrative
WE
WealthAP
DUOL logo
WealthAP on Duolingo ·

Duolingo (DUOL): Why A 20% Drop Might Be The Entry Point We've Been Waiting For

Fair Value:US$268.6435.3% undervalued
30 users have followed this narrative
4 users have commented on this narrative
8 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

CO
composite32
HTTBT logo
composite32 on Hitit Bilgisayar Hizmetleri ·

Hitit Bilgisayar Hizmetleri will achieve a 19.7% revenue boost in the next five years

Fair Value:₺61.1531.1% undervalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
SI
SimpleMan887
GME logo
SimpleMan887 on GameStop ·

GameStop will ace the financial crisis wave with its strategic Bitcoin investment and cash reserves

Fair Value:US$22090.3% undervalued
28 users have followed this narrative
2 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
WE
WealthAP
BABA logo
WealthAP on Alibaba Group Holding ·

BABA Analysis: Buying the Fear, Holding the Cloud

Fair Value:US$187.0417.4% undervalued
5 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

AG
Agricola
EXN logo
Agricola on Excellon Resources ·

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Fair Value:CA$31.898.4% undervalued
70 users have followed this narrative
13 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$253.0226.9% undervalued
1027 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
29 users have liked this narrative
AL
RKLB logo
AlexLovell on Rocket Lab ·

Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

Fair Value:US$16.25411.3% overvalued
71 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
18 users have liked this narrative