Stock Analysis

    Could The Atlantic Power Corporation (TSE:ATP) Ownership Structure Tell Us Something Useful?

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    The big shareholder groups in Atlantic Power Corporation (TSE:ATP) have power over the company. Generally speaking, as a company grows, institutions will increase their ownership. Conversely, insiders often decrease their ownership over time. Companies that have been privatized tend to have low insider ownership.

    With a market capitalization of CA$343m, Atlantic Power is a small cap stock, so it might not be well known by many institutional investors. Our analysis of the ownership of the company, below, shows that institutions own shares in the company. We can zoom in on the different ownership groups, to learn more about Atlantic Power.

    View our latest analysis for Atlantic Power

    TSX:ATP Ownership Summary, February 8th 2020
    TSX:ATP Ownership Summary, February 8th 2020

    What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Atlantic Power?

    Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.

    Atlantic Power already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own 57% of the company. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Atlantic Power's historic earnings and revenue, below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

    TSX:ATP Income Statement, February 8th 2020
    TSX:ATP Income Statement, February 8th 2020

    Since institutional investors own more than half the issued stock, the board will likely have to pay attention to their preferences. It looks like hedge funds own 6.2% of Atlantic Power shares. That catches my attention because hedge funds sometimes try to influence management, or bring about changes that will create near term value for shareholders. The company's largest shareholder is Morgan Stanley, Investment Banking and Brokerage Investments, with ownership of 8.1%, Next, we have Neuberger Berman BD LLC and Mangrove Partners as the second and third largest shareholders, holding 6.3% and 6.2%, of the shares outstanding, respectively.

    Additionally, we found that the top 20 have the combined ownership of 50% in the company, suggesting that no one share holder has significant control over the company.

    Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. While there is some analyst coverage, the company is probably not widely covered. So it could gain more attention, down the track.

    Insider Ownership Of Atlantic Power

    The definition of company insiders can be subjective, and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

    Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

    Our most recent data indicates that insiders own some shares in Atlantic Power Corporation. It has a market capitalization of just CA$343m, and insiders have CA$12m worth of shares, in their own names. This shows at least some alignment. You can click here to see if those insiders have been buying or selling.

    General Public Ownership

    With a 34% ownership, the general public have some degree of sway over ATP. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.

    Next Steps:

    It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Atlantic Power better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Atlantic Power you should be aware of.

    If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

    NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

    If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

    We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.