Loading...
CRNC logo

Cerence Inc.NasdaqGS:CRNC 株式レポート

時価総額 US$430.2m
株価
US$9.18
US$10.25
10.4% 割安 内在価値ディスカウント
1Y3.1%
7D-7.6%
ポートフォリオ価値
表示

Cerence Inc.

NasdaqGS:CRNC 株式レポート

時価総額:US$430.2m

Cerence(CRNC)株式概要

セレンス社は、米国、その他の米州、ドイツ、その他の欧州、中東、アフリカ、日本、その他のアジア太平洋地域のモビリティ/トランスポーテーション市場向けにAI搭載アシスタントを提供しています。 詳細

CRNC ファンダメンタル分析
スノーフレーク・スコア
評価5/6
将来の成長3/6
過去の実績0/6
財務の健全性3/6
配当金0/6

報酬

リスク分析

リスクチェックの結果、CRNC 、リスクは検出されなかった。

CRNC Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 38 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Cerence Inc. 競合他社

価格と性能

株価の高値、安値、推移の概要Cerence
過去の株価
現在の株価US$9.18
52週高値US$13.74
52週安値US$5.85
ベータ2.89
1ヶ月の変化5.52%
3ヶ月変化13.19%
1年変化3.15%
3年間の変化-64.79%
5年間の変化-89.81%
IPOからの変化-40.20%

最新ニュース

ナラティブの更新 May 18

CRNC: AI Auto Assistant Partnerships And Margin Execution Will Shape Future Upside

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Cerence from $8.00 to $9.00, citing updated assumptions on revenue trends, margins, discount rate, and future P/E following recent bullish Street research coverage. Analyst Commentary While the latest fair value update reflects more constructive assumptions, several bearish analysts still flag reasons to be cautious on Cerence at current levels.
ナラティブの更新 Apr 23

CRNC: Profit Margin Gains And AI Partnerships Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have lowered the price target on Cerence from $16.00 to $12.00 as they incorporate updated revenue expectations, higher projected profit margins, and a reduced assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cerence presents a mix of caution around valuation and optimism about execution, with bullish analysts highlighting potential upside drivers even as some targets are reset.
ナラティブの更新 Apr 09

CRNC: Future Upside Will Depend On Executing New AI Voice Partnerships

The analyst price target for Cerence has moved from $10.00 to $10.25, with analysts pointing to a mix of fresh bullish coverage and recent target reductions as they reassess fair value, risk, and earnings potential. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts initiating coverage highlight what they see as upside to fair value, which helps explain why the overall target level has not moved far from the updated US$10.25 mark despite recent reductions from other firms.
ナラティブの更新 Mar 26

CRNC: AI Partnerships And Long Term Margins Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Cerence by a few dollars, with cuts such as $3 and $1 reflecting updated views on its earnings power, discount rate, and long term margin profile. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a more cautious tone around Cerence, with price target cuts of $3 and $1 signaling that some expectations for earnings power and profitability are being reset.

Recent updates

ナラティブの更新 May 18

CRNC: AI Auto Assistant Partnerships And Margin Execution Will Shape Future Upside

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Cerence from $8.00 to $9.00, citing updated assumptions on revenue trends, margins, discount rate, and future P/E following recent bullish Street research coverage. Analyst Commentary While the latest fair value update reflects more constructive assumptions, several bearish analysts still flag reasons to be cautious on Cerence at current levels.
ナラティブの更新 Apr 23

CRNC: Profit Margin Gains And AI Partnerships Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have lowered the price target on Cerence from $16.00 to $12.00 as they incorporate updated revenue expectations, higher projected profit margins, and a reduced assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cerence presents a mix of caution around valuation and optimism about execution, with bullish analysts highlighting potential upside drivers even as some targets are reset.
ナラティブの更新 Apr 09

CRNC: Future Upside Will Depend On Executing New AI Voice Partnerships

The analyst price target for Cerence has moved from $10.00 to $10.25, with analysts pointing to a mix of fresh bullish coverage and recent target reductions as they reassess fair value, risk, and earnings potential. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts initiating coverage highlight what they see as upside to fair value, which helps explain why the overall target level has not moved far from the updated US$10.25 mark despite recent reductions from other firms.
ナラティブの更新 Mar 26

CRNC: AI Partnerships And Long Term Margins Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Cerence by a few dollars, with cuts such as $3 and $1 reflecting updated views on its earnings power, discount rate, and long term margin profile. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a more cautious tone around Cerence, with price target cuts of $3 and $1 signaling that some expectations for earnings power and profitability are being reset.
ナラティブの更新 Mar 11

CRNC: Future Upside Will Rely On Clearer AI Revenue Visibility

Our updated narrative on Cerence reflects a lower analyst price target, with fair value moving from $12.50 to $10.00 as analysts incorporate reduced revenue growth expectations, a slightly higher discount rate, a modestly higher profit margin outlook, and a lower assumed future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cerence points to a more cautious stance, with multiple firms trimming price targets and aligning closer to the revised fair value of $10.00.
ナラティブの更新 Feb 25

CRNC: Price Cuts And AI Deals Will Test Balanced Risk Reward

Analysts have reduced their price targets on Cerence by $3 and $1 in recent research updates. These changes reflect adjustments to their models that incorporate slightly higher discount rates, modestly weaker revenue trends, and a small increase in expected profit margins and future P/E assumptions.
Seeking Alpha Feb 23

Cerence Sees Initial Wins With xUI Platform But I'm Skeptical Of Durability (Downgrade)

Summary My outlook on Cerence is downgraded to a 'Sell' due to concerns over its ability to compete durably and profitably against major technology players in automotive AI. The recent revenue surge was driven by a one-time $49.5 million Samsung settlement, not sustainable core growth, with forward revenue growth estimated at -4.8%. The xUI platform has secured five significant new clients at higher price points, but competitive threats from hyperscalers and replicable core features remain acute. CRNC's heavy R&D burden and exposure to rapid AI advancements threaten margins and long-term differentiation, despite recent operational improvements and strong free cash flow. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 Feb 10

CRNC: Cautious Price Reset Balances AI Execution Risks And Free Cash Flow Progress

Narrative Update: Cerence Analyst Price Target Shift Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Cerence from $10.00 to $8.00, reflecting recent price target cuts alongside calls for clearer proof of AI traction and more sustained core business acceleration, despite prior commentary on solid quarterly results and free cash flow generation. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Cerence highlight a clear shift toward more cautious positioning, with some firms cutting price targets and others holding back from taking a more positive stance until they see stronger execution in key growth areas such as AI powered in car experiences.
分析記事 Feb 09

Cerence Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CRNC) 37% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues

Cerence Inc. ( NASDAQ:CRNC ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...
分析記事 Feb 04

Cerence (NASDAQ:CRNC) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
ナラティブの更新 Jan 27

CRNC: Future Upside Will Depend On Clearer Evidence Of AI Traction

Narrative Update on Cerence Analysts have nudged their price expectations for Cerence higher, with targets moving from about $10 to around $11, supported by a solid quarter, free cash flow generation, an improved balance sheet, and early signs of traction in core and AI related offerings, while still looking for clearer proof of sustained core business acceleration. Analyst Commentary Recent research takes a balanced view on Cerence, with some analysts encouraged by execution and valuation, while others are looking for clearer proof that core growth and new AI offerings can support a stronger long term story.
ナラティブの更新 Jan 12

CRNC: AI Execution And Core Business Evidence Will Shape Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their price target for Cerence higher, with recent moves from $10 to $11, alongside a fair value view around $12.50, reflecting solid quarterly results, improved free cash flow and balance sheet, and cautious optimism around future AI traction and core-business acceleration. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight that recent results were solid, with revenue and EBITDA coming in ahead of expectations, which they view as supportive of current valuation levels.
ナラティブの更新 Dec 25

CRNC: AI Execution And Automotive Deals Will Shape Balanced Future Upside

Narrative Update Analysts have nudged Cerence's price target modestly higher to about $11, reflecting solid quarterly execution and improving free cash flow and guidance, while still awaiting clearer evidence of sustained AI driven growth in the core business. Analyst Commentary Street research remains cautiously balanced on Cerence, with analysts recognizing improving execution and cash generation but looking for clearer proof that AI investments will translate into durable, above market growth in the core automotive software franchise.
ナラティブの更新 Dec 11

CRNC: AI Traction And Core Auto Software Progress Will Shape Future Upside Potential

Analysts have nudged their price target on Cerence modestly higher, to about $11 from roughly $10, reflecting a solid quarter, improved balance sheet, and constructive core growth and pricing trends, even as they wait for clearer evidence of durable AI and core-business acceleration. Analyst Commentary Analysts remain divided on the near term risk reward profile for Cerence, balancing improved fundamentals and valuation support against ongoing execution and growth uncertainties.
ナラティブの更新 Nov 27

CRNC: AI Expansion Will Drive Improved Margins And Long-Term Core Business Strength

Analysts have raised their price target for Cerence to $12.50 from $11.75. This reflects the company’s solid quarterly results and improved profit margins.
分析記事 Nov 20

Revenues Working Against Cerence Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CRNC) Share Price Following 33% Dive

Cerence Inc. ( NASDAQ:CRNC ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 33...
分析記事 Nov 05

Estimating The Fair Value Of Cerence Inc. (NASDAQ:CRNC)

Key Insights The projected fair value for Cerence is US$9.34 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Cerence's...
分析記事 Oct 03

We Think Cerence (NASDAQ:CRNC) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
分析記事 Oct 03

Cerence Inc. (NASDAQ:CRNC) Shares Fly 36% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Cerence Inc. ( NASDAQ:CRNC ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a...
分析記事 Aug 09

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Cerence Inc. (NASDAQ:CRNC) After Its Third-Quarter Results

NasdaqGS:CRNC 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Cerence's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...
分析記事 Aug 04

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Cerence Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CRNC) Revenues Yet As Shares Tumble 26%

Cerence Inc. ( NASDAQ:CRNC ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand...
分析記事 Jul 15

Cerence (NASDAQ:CRNC) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital

To avoid investing in a business that's in decline, there's a few financial metrics that can provide early indications...
分析記事 May 04

Cerence Inc. (NASDAQ:CRNC) Shares Fly 40% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Cerence Inc. ( NASDAQ:CRNC ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 40% in the last...
User avatar
新しいナラティブ Apr 25

Next-Gen Automotive Product Will Deepen AI Partnerships And OEM Ties

Strategic partnerships with AI leaders and new design contracts enhance performance, expand revenue growth, and strengthen competitive position.
分析記事 Mar 09

Cerence Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CRNC) 29% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues

Cerence Inc. ( NASDAQ:CRNC ) shares have retraced a considerable 29% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of...
Seeking Alpha Feb 28

Cerence Gets Strong Buy From Quant System, But Be Wary Of Tariffs

Summary Despite Quant's Strong Buy rating, I rate Cerence Inc. as a Hold due to potential tariffs and concerns over revenue and earnings. Cerence, spun off from Nuance Communications in 2019, holds a 51% market share in AI-powered virtual assistants for automobiles. Cerence faces competition from tech giants like Amazon and Apple, as well as from smaller firms like SoundHound, but boasts industry-leading speech technology and custom vehicle integration. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Feb 10

Is Cerence (NASDAQ:CRNC) A Risky Investment?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Seeking Alpha Jan 27

Cerence: Making Tough Calls Brings In The Money

Summary I initially saw Cerence as a high-reward turnaround play, but its valuation now feels stretched. The company’s focus on restructuring and cost-cutting is positive, but it still needs to prove it can sustain growth. While its AI narrative could spark renewed investor interest, betting on a meme-like rally isn’t my strategy. At 20x fiscal 2026 free cash flow, with much of that going to debt reduction, the upside feels limited. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 20

Cerence: Navigating AI Innovation In A Challenging Automotive Landscape

Summary Cerence, Inc. holds a 52% market share in automotive virtual assistants but faces intense competition and technology uncertainties. Financial performance shows mixed results with recent growth but significant operating expenses and margin pressures from automakers. Valuation suggests a narrow margin of safety, with a $14 per share estimate, only 9.5% above the current stock price. High technology and market uncertainties make Cerence a hold, with a 46.6% probability of achieving a value higher than the current stock price. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 13

Cerence: Don't Get Lost In The AI Hype--The Ground Reality Is Underwhelming

Summary Cerence Inc. is a $670 million AI company focused on automotive voice assistance, but its growth potential seems overstated. Despite the recent stock surge due to the Nvidia partnership, I believe Cerence's financial performance is weak, with declining margins, mounting losses, and a highly leveraged balance sheet. The company's valuation is overinflated, with a forward PE ratio over 265, and insider selling further indicates overvaluation and lack of confidence. I rate CRNC as a sell due to its underwhelming growth potential, financial instability, and lack of a strong competitive edge in the AI automotive space. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 06

Cerence's Nvidia Partnership Is Big - An Industry Peer Shows Proof

Summary Cerence Inc.'s partnership with Nvidia enhances its AI capabilities and market position, but prudence is advised until the stock pulls back. Industry peer, SoundHound AI's successful Nvidia partnership sets a precedent for Cerence, boosting optimism but requiring time to reflect in Cerence's metrics. Cerence's transition to a subscription-based model and expanded customer base shows potential, but legacy issues and debt remain challenges. CES 2025 announcements may further impact Cerence's stock in the short term, but a Neutral rating is recommended as growth will take time to materialize. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Jan 06

There's No Escaping Cerence Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CRNC) Muted Revenues Despite A 133% Share Price Rise

Cerence Inc. ( NASDAQ:CRNC ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 133% gain in the last month alone. The...
分析記事 Jan 05

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Cerence Inc. (NASDAQ:CRNC)

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Cerence fair value estimate is US$22.53 Current share price of...
Seeking Alpha Nov 22

Cerence Stock: Persistent Risks Remain Despite Positive Q4 Earnings Results

Summary Cerence shares have more than doubled since its Q4 earnings were released. While growth is expected to remain muted next year, margins are expected to be solid, coupled with strong FCF generation. Cerence’s balance sheet remains vulnerable, with $90 million in debt due in the coming year. At the current valuation of 7.3 times FCF, I maintain my Hold rating on CRNC stock. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Nov 22

Cerence Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CRNC) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 105%

Cerence Inc. ( NASDAQ:CRNC ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 105% after a shaky period beforehand...
分析記事 Nov 12

These 4 Measures Indicate That Cerence (NASDAQ:CRNC) Is Using Debt Extensively

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
分析記事 Oct 17

Investors Will Want Cerence's (NASDAQ:CRNC) Growth In ROCE To Persist

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
分析記事 Sep 21

Cerence Inc. (NASDAQ:CRNC) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 31% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

Cerence Inc. ( NASDAQ:CRNC ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...

株主還元

CRNCUS SoftwareUS 市場
7D-7.6%2.2%-1.0%
1Y3.1%-10.0%23.3%

業界別リターン: CRNC過去 1 年間で-10 % の収益を上げたUS Software業界を上回りました。

リターン対市場: CRNCは、過去 1 年間で23.3 % のリターンを上げたUS市場を下回りました。

価格変動

Is CRNC's price volatile compared to industry and market?
CRNC volatility
CRNC Average Weekly Movement8.9%
Software Industry Average Movement9.7%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.2%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

安定した株価: CRNC 、 US市場と比較して、過去 3 か月間で大きな価格変動はありませんでした。

時間の経過による変動: CRNCの 週次ボラティリティ ( 9% ) は過去 1 年間安定しています。

会社概要

設立従業員CEO(最高経営責任者ウェブサイト
20201,300Brian Krzanichwww.cerence.com

セレンス社は、米国、その他の米州、ドイツ、その他の欧州、中東、アフリカ、日本、その他のアジア太平洋地域のモビリティ/トランスポーテーション市場向けにAI搭載アシスタントを提供している。同社はエッジソフトウェアコンポーネント、クラウド接続コンポーネント、バーチャルアシスタント、プロフェッショナルサービスを提供している。また、音声認識、自然言語理解、音声信号強調、音声合成、音響調整など、会話型および生成型の人工知能ベースのソリューションも提供している。同社はArm Kleidi社、SiMa.ai社と戦略的パートナーシップを結び、CaLLM Edgeの機能と性能を向上させている。セレンスは2020年に法人化され、マサチューセッツ州バーリントンに本社を置いている。

Cerence Inc. 基礎のまとめ

Cerence の収益と売上を時価総額と比較するとどうか。
CRNC 基礎統計学
時価総額US$430.19m
収益(TTM)-US$19.65m
売上高(TTM)US$302.14m
1.4x
P/Sレシオ
-21.1x
PER(株価収益率

収益と収入

最新の決算報告書(TTM)に基づく主な収益性統計
CRNC 損益計算書(TTM)
収益US$302.14m
売上原価US$65.61m
売上総利益US$236.53m
その他の費用US$256.18m
収益-US$19.65m

直近の収益報告

Mar 31, 2026

次回決算日

該当なし

一株当たり利益(EPS)-0.43
グロス・マージン78.28%
純利益率-6.50%
有利子負債/自己資本比率108.9%

CRNC の長期的なパフォーマンスは?

過去の実績と比較を見る

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日(UTC時間)
企業分析2026/05/19 20:20
終値2026/05/19 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/09/30

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM(Trailing Twelve Month)またはLTM(Last Twelve Month)データとして知られています。詳細はこちら

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Cerence Inc. 5 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。10

アナリスト機関
Michael FilatovBerenberg
Thomas BlakeyCantor Fitzgerald & Co.
Jeffrey Van RheeCraig-Hallum Capital Group LLC