Upstart Holdings Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 6/6
Upstart Holdings devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 58.5% et de 21.5% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 55% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 33.3% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
58.5%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
54.98%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Consumer Finance croissance des bénéfices | 18.9% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 21.5% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 33.31% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 09 Jun 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
Mise à jour du récit • Jun 04
UPST: Funding Risks From Bank Charter And Lawsuit Are Likely To Persist
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Upstart Holdings by around $10 to $15 per share, citing broader cuts across consumer finance stocks and reassessments of funding and macro risks, even as some highlight potential upside from the company's bank charter application. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Upstart Holdings shows a clear tilt toward more conservative assumptions, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets in response to macro uncertainty and sector wide pressure across consumer finance stocks.Seeking Alpha • May 30
Big Insiders Are Buying Upstart Stock Again
Summary Upstart is upgraded to a neutral rating, driven by significant insider buying despite ongoing risks. UPST posted 44% YoY revenue growth and 61% YoY transaction volume growth, but profitability contracted due to margin pressures. Management guides for 34.6% revenue growth in 2024 and targets 35% annual growth through 2028, supported by rapid expansion in auto and home loan originations. While UPST trades at 2x sales and offers upside in bullish scenarios, cyclicality and modest GAAP profitability may limit valuation expansion. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaMise à jour du récit • May 18
UPST: Funding Strains Will Likely Persist Despite Planned Bank Charter Pursuit
Analysts have lowered their price targets on Upstart Holdings by $3 to $15 to reflect reduced assumed revenue growth, a slightly lower discount rate, and a decreased future P/E multiple, while maintaining fair value at around $20 and making modest adjustments to long-term profit margin expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Upstart Holdings shows a cluster of price target cuts across several firms, with only a few more supportive voices highlighting potential upside tied to specific catalysts such as the bank application and new product launches.
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 30
UPST: Bank Charter Pursuit And GenAI Underwriting Are Expected To Drive Upside
Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Upstart Holdings, with fair value estimates moving from about $56.64 to $43.93 as several firms cut targets by $4 to $15 while highlighting mixed views on funding risk, earnings potential, and the impact of the company's bank charter ambitions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Upstart shows a split between analysts who see improving risk and earnings potential and those who remain cautious on funding, macro sensitivity, and valuation.Mise à jour du récit • Apr 15
UPST: Bank Charter Effort Will Likely Fail To Offset Mounting Funding Risks
Analysts have reset the fair value estimate for Upstart Holdings to $20.00 from $40.17, reflecting lower price targets across several firms while still noting possible earnings upside and reduced funding risk tied to the company's bank charter efforts and new product launches. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Upstart reflects a split view, with some firms flagging upside tied to the bank charter effort and new products, while others are trimming price targets and staying cautious on execution and funding.
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 01
UPST: Bank Charter Pursuit Will Reset Perceived Credit Cycle Risk
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Upstart Holdings from $76.84 to $74.12. This reflects a lower average price target across recent research that factors in mixed rating changes, reduced targets tied to market multiples, and ongoing discussion around funding risk and the potential impact of a bank charter.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 18
UPST: Bank Charter And GenAI Underwriting Will Reset Perceived Credit Cycle Risk
Analysts have trimmed the blended price target for Upstart Holdings to reflect a fair value estimate of about $76.84, compared with $80.00 previously, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E in light of recent rating changes and mixed price target moves across the Street. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are starting to frame Upstart as a higher conviction idea for investors who are comfortable with its credit cycle exposure and funding profile.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 04
UPST: GenAI Credit Model And New Access Product Will Reprice Risk
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price targets on Upstart Holdings toward the low to mid $30 range, reflecting mixed views that balance the launch of the Cash Line earned wage access product with tempered assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed but more constructive picture for Upstart Holdings, as several firms reassess both rating and valuation in light of new products and updated long term forecasts.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 18
UPST: GenAI Underwriting And Rate Easing Are Expected To Reprice Risk
Analysts have nudged their price targets on Upstart higher toward $30, reflecting updated views that its GenAI driven underwriting model and ambitious long term outlook could justify current valuations if execution stays on track. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed but incrementally more constructive picture, with several bullish analysts highlighting how Upstart's GenAI centric underwriting model and long term plans could eventually line up with current valuation levels if management hits its targets.Article d’analyse • Feb 05
Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:UPST) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 25%
The Upstart Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:UPST ) share price has softened a substantial 25% over the previous 30 days...Mise à jour du récit • Feb 03
UPST: GenAI Underwriting And Easing Rates Are Expected To Drive Upside
Narrative Update: Upstart Holdings (UPST) The analyst price target for Upstart Holdings has edged higher to about $56.64 from $56.29. Analysts attribute this to its GenAI-centered underwriting model and recent research updates, including a new US$59 target and a revised US$65 target.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 20
UPST: GenAI Credit Model And New Partnerships Will Support Share Recovery
Narrative Update: Upstart Holdings Analysts have nudged their implied fair value estimate for Upstart Holdings higher from about US$55.38 to roughly US$56.29 per share, citing Street research that highlights the company's GenAI-focused underwriting model, mixed but closely watched recent results, and updated price targets in the range of US$59 to US$65. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Upstart highlights a split view, with some bullish analysts focusing on the company’s GenAI-driven underwriting model and others stressing its sensitivity to credit conditions and recent mixed quarterly results.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 06
UPST: GenAI Underwriting And Easing Rates Will Support Medium-Term Earnings Power
Analysts have adjusted their price targets on Upstart Holdings to around $59 to $65 per share. This reflects their view that the company's GenAI driven underwriting model offers material improvements over traditional credit models, while still being closely tied to the credit cycle and interest rate trends.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 14
UPST: Improving Margins Will Support Medium-Term Earnings Power Despite Credit Headwinds
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Upstart Holdings to $80.00 from $105.00, citing lower expected revenue growth, a higher discount rate, and concerns about rising delinquencies that have led to Street price target cuts, even as profit margin expectations improve. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Upstart Holdings reflects a nuanced but increasingly constructive stance among bullish analysts, who argue that the pullback in the stock has created a more attractive risk reward profile despite near term macro and credit headwinds.Article d’analyse • Dec 11
Optimistic Investors Push Upstart Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:UPST) Shares Up 25% But Growth Is Lacking
Those holding Upstart Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:UPST ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 25% in...Mise à jour du récit • Nov 29
UPST: Continued Partnerships Will Drive Share Recovery Despite Delinquency Concerns
Analysts have modestly lowered their price target for Upstart Holdings, now expecting shares to reach approximately $65. They cite a mixed quarterly report along with increasing delinquencies seen in recent loan performance data.Mise à jour du récit • Nov 15
UPST: Mixed Financials Will Be Offset By Expanding Personal Loan Partnerships
Upstart Holdings’ analyst price target has been revised downward from approximately $75 to $55. Analysts cite mixed quarterly results and rising delinquency trends as key factors in the reassessment.Mise à jour du récit • Nov 01
UPST: Raised Guidance And Credit Union Partnerships Will Drive Momentum Ahead
The consensus analyst price target for Upstart Holdings has been slightly decreased by less than $1 as analysts weigh accelerating delinquencies in older loan vintages against a recent quarterly beat and raised guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research presents a mixed outlook for Upstart Holdings, reflecting both optimism and caution among analysts as they assess the company's latest financial results and developing loan trends.Mise à jour du récit • Oct 18
Model 19 And HELOC Expansion Will Strengthen Underwriting And Funding
Analysts have lowered their fair value estimate for Upstart Holdings from $79.54 to $75.46. They cite concerns over increasing delinquency rates in older loan vintages, as well as a slight adjustment in projected revenue growth and discount rate metrics.Mise à jour du récit • Oct 04
Model 19 And HELOC Expansion Will Strengthen Underwriting And Funding
Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Upstart Holdings from approximately $80.85 to $79.54. They cite concerns about rising delinquencies in recent loan vintages and possible risks to future transaction volume.Article d’analyse • Sep 30
Upstart Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:UPST) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 28% Price Plummet
The Upstart Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:UPST ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a...Mise à jour du récit • Aug 07
Model 19 And HELOC Expansion Will Strengthen Underwriting And Funding
Despite a reduction in consensus revenue growth forecasts, a notable improvement in net profit margin has driven the consensus analyst price target for Upstart Holdings up from $67.36 to $76.86. What's in the News Upstart provided Q3 2025 guidance of $280 million revenue with a GAAP net loss of $9 million; full-year 2025 guidance is $1.055 billion revenue and $35 million GAAP net income.Article d’analyse • Jul 08
Investors Appear Satisfied With Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:UPST) Prospects As Shares Rocket 41%
Upstart Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:UPST ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 41% gain in the last month...Article d’analyse • May 04
Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:UPST) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 44% Share Price Bounce
Upstart Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:UPST ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 44% in...Seeking Alpha • Apr 30
Upstart: Revisiting The Bull Case Amid Macroeconomic Uncertainties
Summary After investing in Upstart stock in early 2021, I enjoyed the stellar stock market rally that pushed the stock over $400 before it crashed to just $15. 2024 marked a strong year for Upstart as the company made notable progress on the back of interest rate stability and AI model enhancements. New features introduced by Model 19 should help Upstart achieve consistent model calibration in addition to better risk separation. As discussed in this analysis, UPST needs to tick three boxes to ensure long-term growth. Encouragingly, the company has made progress on all these fronts. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 28
Upstart: One Meme Stock Worth Buying Amidst The Chaos (Rating Upgrade)
Summary Upstart has shown strong execution, with improved underwriting algorithms boosting top-line growth. The company has seen revenue growth accelerate and management expects further acceleration into 2025. This acceleration in growth is expected to coincide with a return to GAAP profitability. I am upgrading my rating to buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Nouveau récit • Mar 20
Model 19 And HELOC Expansion Will Strengthen Underwriting And Funding
Improvements in underwriting, automation, and personalization enhance loan approval rates, lower costs, and reduce default risks, positively impacting revenue and net margins.Article d’analyse • Mar 11
Upstart Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:UPST) Shares Slammed 31% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless
Upstart Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:UPST ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow...Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 2,341 | 362 | 394 | 437 | 6 |
| 12/31/2027 | 1,856 | 220 | 185 | 201 | 14 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,415 | 110 | 296 | 321 | 14 |
| 3/31/2026 | 1,174 | 49 | -287 | -268 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 1,076 | 54 | -166 | -148 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 998 | 32 | -385 | -367 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 885 | -6 | -82 | -65 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 759 | -66 | 114 | 129 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 677 | -129 | 176 | 186 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 605 | -168 | 143 | 152 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 576 | -202 | -144 | -135 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 577 | -175 | 0 | 8 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 548 | -240 | -124 | -112 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 546 | -253 | -234 | -219 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 562 | -269 | -231 | -213 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 652 | -271 | -507 | -484 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 853 | -109 | -681 | -658 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 1,007 | 6 | -457 | -433 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 1,076 | 91 | -311 | -288 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 1,041 | 158 | -161 | -142 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 852 | 135 | 153 | 168 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 634 | 76 | 237 | 248 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 472 | 49 | 215 | 222 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 297 | 9 | 140 | 145 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 241 | N/A | 10 | 16 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 221 | 6 | -51 | -42 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 191 | 0 | N/A | 32 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 126 | -12 | N/A | 50 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 67 | -8 | N/A | 10 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de UPST ( 58.5% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.5% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de UPST ( 58.5% par an) devraient croître plus rapidement que le marché US ( 17.1% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de UPST devraient augmenter de manière significative au cours des 3 prochaines années.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de UPST ( 21.5% par an) devrait croître plus rapidement que le marché US ( 11.9% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de UPST ( 21.5% par an) devrait croître plus rapidement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de UPST devrait être élevé dans 3 ans ( 33.3 %)
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/06/10 21:44 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/06/10 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/03/31 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/12/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
Upstart Holdings, Inc. est couverte par 16 analystes. 14 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Ramsey El-Assal | Barclays |
| Mihir Bhatia | BofA Global Research |
| Harold Goetsch | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |